8 November 2026, 18:00 UTC

Vojvodina vs FK Crvena Zvezda Super Liga prediction & result

Novi Sad
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Vojvodina 0-1 FK Crvena Zvezda.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% Vojvodina, 27% draw, 41% FK Crvena Zvezda — fair odds of 3.13, 3.70 and 2.44.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FK Crvena Zvezda at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Vojvodina0%Draw4%FK Crvena Zvezda96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

29'
Yuta Nakayama
35'
Rade Krunić
Lazar Nikolic
40'
59'
🔁Rade Krunićout: Mahmudu Bajo
milan kolarevic
61'
66'
Matej Gashtarov
70'
🔁Vladimir Lucicout: Osman Bukari
Petar Sukacev
72'
🔁Nardin Mulahusejnovićout: stefan stanisavljevic
75'
🔁milan kolarevicout: Vukašin Davidov
75'
🔁Lazar Nikolicout: Ifet Djakovac
75'
84'
🔁Marko Arnautovićout: Kim Ye-geon
🔁Dragan Kokanovićout: Lucas Barros
84'
🔁Lazar Randjelovićout: Aleksa Vukanović
84'
87'
⚽Mahmudu Bajoassist: Tomas·Handel

Match stats — Vojvodina vs FK Crvena Zvezda

44%Possession56%
9Shots15
6On target4
3Corners6
0.63xG1.94

Goals against chances

Vojvodina0 from 0.63 xGless than the chances were worth
FK Crvena Zvezda1 from 1.94 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Vojvodina 4-1-4-1
  • 12D. RosićG
  • 22L. NikolićD
  • 26K. SzűcsD
  • 15E. MašovićD
  • 27P. SukacevD
  • 18N. PetrovićM
  • 77L. RanđelovićM
  • 20D. KokanovićM
  • 10D. ZukićM
  • 21M. KolarevicM
  • 99N. MulahusejnovićF
Substitutes
  • 9A. VukanovićF
  • 19S. StanisavljevićF
  • 7S. MitrovićF
  • 23Lucas BarrosD
  • 1M. GočmanacG
  • 66M. GašićD
  • 35I. ĐakovacM
  • 5Đ. CrnomarkovićD
  • 32David MilovanovićF
Coach: Marko Savic
FK Crvena Zvezda 3-4-2-1
  • 1MatheusG
  • 32D. LuckassenD
  • 45S. GudeljD
  • 3Y. NakayamaD
  • 20Tomás HändelM
  • 22V. KostovM
  • 33R. KrunićM
  • 4M. IvanićM
  • 37V. LučićM
  • 60M. GashtarovM
  • 7M. ArnautovićF
Substitutes
  • 13M. VeljkovićD
  • 6M. BajoM
  • 8K. BalovF
  • 14O. BukariF
  • 77I. GutešaG
  • 19Kim Ye-geonM
  • 75L. LoizouF
  • 30F. Tebo UchennaD
  • 50S. RadanovićG
Coach: Riera

Form going into Vojvodina vs FK Crvena Zvezda

Vojvodina

Super Liga

  • W2-0away to OFK Beograd1 November 2026
  • D1-1away to Mladost Lucani24 October 2026
  • W2-0Radnicki 192317 October 2026
  • W4-1away to Radnicki NIS11 October 2026

FK Crvena Zvezda

Super Liga

  • W4-2away to Macva31 October 2026
  • W1-0away to OFK Beograd25 October 2026
  • W5-1Mladost Lucani18 October 2026
  • W3-0away to Radnicki 192310 October 2026

What these results say

  • Vojvodina went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Vojvodina scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Vojvodina won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • FK Crvena Zvezda won every one of these 4 matches.
  • FK Crvena Zvezda scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for FK Crvena Zvezda had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serbia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Vojvodina1510233013+1732
1FK Crvena Zvezda151410386+3243

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Vojvodina vs FK Crvena Zvezda

  • 26 July 2026FK Crvena Zvezda 3–1 VojvodinaSuper Liga
  • 13 May 2026FK Crvena Zvezda 2–2 VojvodinaCup
  • 18 April 2026FK Crvena Zvezda 4–1 VojvodinaSuper Liga
  • 7 December 2025FK Crvena Zvezda 0–1 VojvodinaSuper Liga
  • 30 October 2025Vojvodina 3–2 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
  • 21 May 2025Vojvodina 0–3 FK Crvena ZvezdaCup

Leading scorers: Vojvodina and FK Crvena Zvezda

Vojvodina

GoalsAssists

  • D. Zukić81
  • N. Mulahusejnović44
  • L. Ranđelović37

FK Crvena Zvezda

GoalsAssists

  • B. Dieng50
  • V. Kostov43
  • A. Katai34

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FK Crvena Zvezda won 1–0 at Vojvodina. The model had made a win for FK Crvena Zvezda its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Mahmudu Bajo 87' for FK Crvena Zvezda. On expected goals it finished 0.63–1.94.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Vojvodina a 3.6% chance to finish top of the regular season: 6.5% after a win, 2.8% after a draw, under 1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at under 1%, 2.9 points lower than before the match.

For FK Crvena Zvezda the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 96.2% going in: 99.2% after a win, 97.1% after a draw, 93.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 99.2%, 3 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Vojvodina v FK Crvena Zvezda has moved

First published on 24 Oct at 31% / 26% / 43% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 32% / 27% / 41%: the biggest move is FK Crvena Zvezda's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Vojvodina win32%▲ +1
  2. Draw27%▲ +1
  3. FK Crvena Zvezda win41%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.