16 August 2026, 19:00 UTC

Zemun vs Mladost Lucani Super Liga prediction & result

Zemun Stadium, Belgrade
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Zemun 0-1 Mladost Lucani.

Before kick-off the model made it 10% Zemun, 20% draw, 70% Mladost Lucani — fair odds of 10.00, 5.00 and 1.43. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Mladost Lucani at 70% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Zemun0%Draw1%Mladost Lucani99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

9'
⚽V. Tasovskiassist: V. Kijevcanin
Milan Spremo
24'
33'
Veljko Kijevčanin
Nemanja Belaković
43'
57'
Milan Joksimović
🔁N. Belakovicout: M. Saric
58'
🔁N. Kalatout: N. Petrusic
58'
59'
🔁John Maryout: P. Bojic
59'
🔁M. Todosijevicout: J. Ciric
Dejan Parađina
67'
🔁D. Tabakovicout: A. Milosevic
70'
🔁G. Vadzeout: S. Knezevic
70'
72'
Dušan Jovančić
74'
🔁V. Kijevcaninout: V. Markovic
🔁O. Ilicout: D. Petrovic
78'
85'
Vukašin Marković
89'
🔁Z. Udovicicout: M. Cvetkovic
89'
🔁V. Tasovskiout: O. Krsmanovic

Match stats — Zemun vs Mladost Lucani

60%Possession40%
17Shots11
3On target3
9Corners3

Line-ups

Zemun 4-4-2
  • 89M. ZivkovicG
  • 25D. ParadinaD
  • 21I. OstojicD
  • 66V. BakicD
  • 16M. SpremoD
  • 19G. VadzeM
  • 8O. IlicM
  • 27U. LjubomiracM
  • 10N. BelakovicM
  • 7D. TabakovicF
  • 31N. KalatF
Substitutes
  • 1M. KnezevicG
  • 88A. KadijevicD
  • 5D. JovanovicD
  • 4I. KosticD
  • 29A. MilosevicD
  • 20D. PetrovicM
  • 6Z. BogdanovicM
  • 17D. MiladinovicM
  • 11S. KnezevicF
Coach: Milan Kuljic
Mladost Lucani 5-4-1
  • 1S. StamenkovicG
  • 17A. VarjacicD
  • 7N. AndricD
  • 30N. CirkovicD
  • 12M. JoksimovicD
  • 33Z. UdovicicD
  • 88V. TasovskiM
  • 29D. JovancicM
  • 5V. KijevcaninM
  • 22M. TodosijevicM
  • 39John MaryF
Substitutes
  • 21N. PopovicG
  • 44M. CvetkovicD
  • 28N. BoranijasevicD
  • 41N. Zunic
  • 14T. BondarenkoD
  • 9P. BojicM
  • 24V. MarkovicM
  • 18F. ZunicD
  • 10O. KrsmanovicM
Coach: Radovan Curcic

Form going into Zemun vs Mladost Lucani

Zemun

  • L0-3away to Radnicki 19238 August 2026

Mladost Lucani

  • D2-2Cukaricki9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Zemun9027417-132
6Mladost Lucani9342811-313

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Zemun vs Mladost Lucani

  • 16 August 2026Zemun 0–1 Mladost LucaniSuper Liga
  • 9 December 2018Zemun 0–3 Mladost LucaniSuper Liga
  • 18 August 2018Mladost Lucani 2–1 ZemunSuper Liga
  • 29 April 2018Zemun 0–0 Mladost LucaniSuper Liga
  • 5 November 2017Zemun 0–0 Mladost LucaniSuper Liga
  • 22 July 2017Mladost Lucani 1–1 ZemunSuper Liga

Leading scorers: Zemun and Mladost Lucani

Zemun

No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.

Mladost Lucani

  • Vasil Tasovski3 goals
  • João3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.