RAAL La Louvière vs Gent Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: RAAL La Louvière 1-2 Gent.
Before kick-off the model made it 20% RAAL La Louvière, 22% draw, 58% Gent — fair odds of 5.00, 4.55 and 1.72. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gent at 58% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — RAAL La Louvière vs Gent
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 21Marcos Hernán PeanoG
- 18Shaquil DelosD
- 4Wagane FayeD
- 33Patrick NkoaD
- 99Yllan OkouD
- 5Thierry LutondaD
- 10Mame WadeM
- 48Ismaila CoulibalyM
- 78Anas TajaouartM
- 9Elias FiletF
- 11Mustapha IsahF
- 7Mátyás KovácsM
- 30Zsombor GruberF
- 3Nolan GillotD
- 25Djibril LamegoD
- 90Léandro RousseauF
- 91Théo RadeletG
- 44Mehdi BoukamirD
- 28Bryan SoumaréM
- 43Quentin BenaetsF
- 33Davy RoefG
- 5Mouhamed El NgomD
- 16Christian BurgessD
- 44Siebe Van Der HeydenD
- 20Tiago AraújoD
- 10Aimé OmgbaM
- 22Leonardo LopesM
- 57Matties VolckaertM
- 37Abdelkahar KadriM
- 11Momodou SonkoM
- 75Ibrahima CisseF
- 47Josué VergaraF
- 27Tibe De VliegerM
- 17Mathias DelorgeM
- 8László BénesM
- 14Kyrell WilsonF
- 30Kjell PeersmanG
- 56Mamadou DialloD
- 3Maksim PaskotsiD
- 59El Hadji SeckF
Form going into RAAL La Louvière vs Gent
RAAL La Louvière
- L1-2away to Anderlecht9 August 2026
Gent
- D1-1IFK Goteborg13 August 2026
- W2-0KV Mechelen9 August 2026
- W1-0away to IFK Goteborg6 August 2026
- D0-0LNZ Cherkasy30 July 2026
- D0-0away to LNZ Cherkasy23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | RAAL La Louvière | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
| 2 | Gent | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: RAAL La Louvière vs Gent
- 16 August 2026RAAL La Louvière 1–2 GentJupiler Pro League
- 30 January 2026RAAL La Louvière 1–1 GentJupiler Pro League
- 2 August 2025Gent 1–0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: RAAL La Louvière and Gent
RAAL La Louvière
- M. Ubandoma5 goals
Gent
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.