Genk vs Gent Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Genk 1-1 Gent.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Genk, 31% draw, 30% Gent — fair odds of 2.56, 3.23 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Jupiler Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Genk at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Genk vs Gent
Line-ups
- 28L. Kiaba MoungangaG
- 20K. AmaroD
- 6M. SmetsD
- 44J. KongoloD
- 18J. KayembeD
- 21I. BangouraM
- 8B. HeynenM
- 10J. ItoM
- 11J. ErenbjergM
- 30A. YokoyamaM
- 17R. DurosinmiF
- 33J. AfriyieF
- 23A. BiboutF
- 32Noah Adedeji-SternbergF
- 38D. HeymansM
- 4B. TahirovićM
- 24N. SattlbergerM
- 5C. RavychD
- 25M. RoganovićD
- 1T. LeysenG
- 33D. RoefG
- 5M. NgomD
- 16C. BurgessD
- 44S. Van der HeydenD
- 7M. BalikwishaM
- 27T. De VliegerM
- 17M. Delorge-KnieperM
- 20Tiago AraújoM
- 14Kyrell WilsonM
- 11M. SonkoM
- 47J. Y. Vergara OrtegaF
- 30K. PeersmanG
- 3M. PaskotšiD
- 37A. KadriM
- 45B. GooreF
- 39A. AyindéD
- 57M. VolckaertD
- 59E. SeckF
- 22Leonardo LopesM
- 75I. CisseF
Form going into Genk vs Gent
Genk
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Anderlecht6 September 2026
- W4-0SK Beveren28 August 2026
- D4-4away to Antwerp22 August 2026
- W3-2KVC Westerlo15 August 2026
- L1-2away to Zulte Waregem9 August 2026
Gent
All competitions we cover
- W3-0away to Cercle Brugge6 September 2026
- W1-0OH Leuven3 September 2026
- W2-1Club Brugge KV30 August 2026
- W3-2away to Hibernian27 August 2026
- D0-0Hibernian20 August 2026
What these results say
- Genk scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Genk had three goals or more.
- Gent went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Gent won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Gent scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Genk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 15 |
| 3 | Gent | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 6 | +14 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Genk vs Gent
- 31 May 2026Gent 1–1 GenkJupiler Pro League
- 1 March 2026Genk 3–0 GentJupiler Pro League
- 9 November 2025Gent 1–1 GenkJupiler Pro League
- 18 May 2025Gent 1–4 GenkJupiler Pro League
- 30 March 2025Genk 4–0 GentJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Genk and Gent
Genk
GoalsAssists
- R. Durosinmi60
Gent
GoalsAssists
- I. Cisse40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Genk and Gent drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Genk at 39% and given a draw 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Momodou Sonko 10' for Gent, Rafiu Durosinmi 47' for Genk.
How the call on Genk v Gent has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 41% / 29% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 39% / 31% / 30%: the biggest move is Genk's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Genk win39%▼ −2
- Draw31%▲ +2
- Gent win30%=
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.