AEL sit 3rd in the 1. Division on 18 points from 9 matches, having scored 14 and conceded 14 — level on goal difference. On the model's scale they rate 0.70 in attack and 1.42 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against 1. Division averages of 0.76 and 1.33: close to the division's average. Across their last 5 league matches they have 3 wins and 2 defeats, most recently beating Krasava Ypsonas 3-1 at home. That is 2.00 points a match, scoring 1.56 and conceding 1.56 per game across 6 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. That leaves them 2 points behind AEK Larnaca at the top, in a table of 14. Among the 14 rated sides in the division that is the 9th-best attack and the 10th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they travel to Karmiotissa in the 1. Division on 22 November 2026, a match the model gives them 43%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | +11 | WDWDW | 20 |
| 2 | Omonia Nicosia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:6 | +11 | WDLWW | 18 |
| 3 | AEL | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | WWLLW | 18 |
| 4 | Apoel Nicosia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | +10 | WDWWW | 17 |
| 5 | Apollon Limassol | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 21:11 | +10 | WWWDL | 16 |
| 6 | Pafos | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | +6 | WDDDW | 16 |
| 7 | Aris | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | WDWWL | 15 |
| 8 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | LWLWL | 11 |
| 9 | Olympiakos | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12:13 | -1 | LDDLW | 9 |
| 10 | Nea Salamis | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | LLDLW | 8 |
| 11 | Anorthosis | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7:17 | -10 | LLWLL | 6 |
| 12 | Karmiotissa | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:20 | -14 | LLLWL | 6 |
| 13 | Omonia Aradippou | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | LLLLL | 6 |
| 14 | Krasava Ypsonas | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | LWDDL | 5 |
- Championship group
- Relegation group
AEL sit 3 of 14, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W3-1Krasava Ypsonas7 November 2026
- L0-2away to Omonia Nicosia31 October 2026
- L1-3Aris25 October 2026
- W2-0away to Omonia Aradippou18 October 2026
- W2-1Omonia 29is Maiou11 October 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: AEL vs Karmiotissa
AEL travel to Karmiotissa at Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca on 22 November 2026, 15:00 UTC. The model makes it 43% AEL, 28% draw and 29% Karmiotissa, with a most likely scoreline of 0-1. It projects 1.52 expected goals for AEL against 1.13. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Full preview and model analysis for AEL vs Karmiotissa
Recent meetings with Karmiotissa
- 11 May 2025AEL 1–0 Karmiotissa1. Division
- 7 March 2025Karmiotissa 2–1 AEL1. Division
- 8 December 2024AEL 4–0 Karmiotissa1. Division
- 10 May 2024AEL 4–3 Karmiotissa1. Division
- 3 April 2024Karmiotissa 0–0 AEL1. Division
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Other results that matter to AEL
-
Apollon Limassol v Omonia 29is Maiou · 22 November 2026
AEL fans want Omonia 29is Maiou to win: that leaves AEL's chance of a top-six finish at 47.6%, against 43.3% after a draw (46.1% today).
Apollon Limassol win46.1%=Draw43.3%−2.8Omonia 29is Maiou win47.6%+1.5 -
Apoel Nicosia v Krasava Ypsonas · 28 November 2026
AEL fans want Krasava Ypsonas to win: that leaves AEL's chance of a top-six finish at 48.5%, against 45.0% if Apoel Nicosia win (46.1% today).
Apoel Nicosia win45.0%−1.1Draw47.8%+1.7Krasava Ypsonas win48.5%+2.4 -
Omonia Nicosia v Apoel Nicosia · 21 November 2026
AEL fans want a draw: that leaves AEL's chance of a top-six finish at 46.8%, against 43.6% if Apoel Nicosia win (46.1% today).
Omonia Nicosia win46.0%−0.1Draw46.8%+0.7Apoel Nicosia win43.6%−2.5
From our season simulation, reading only the runs in which each result happened. A match is listed when it moves AEL's figure by 2 points or more and both halves of the runs agree on which result helps.