AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou 1. Division prediction & result
Final score: AEL 2-1 Omonia 29is Maiou.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% AEL, 26% draw, 34% Omonia 29is Maiou — fair odds of 2.50, 3.85 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Cypriot First Division predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
AEL at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 33E. AntoniouD
- 1S. KapinoG
- 6D. ZdravkovskiM
- 20João TavaresM
- 11L. SinghF
- 23Diogo GomesM
- 30G. PapageorgiouM
- 10R. OudinF
- 22K. NeofytouD
- 77F. MugheF
- 9S. JovetićF
- 4S. DenswilD
- 99G. ChineduF
- 84C. Karamani
- 2A. KaroD
- 70kyriacos kyriacouD
- 98P. KyriakouG
- 74Samy MerzoukG
- 19I. MilosavljevićM
- 17D. ParoutisF
- 45Steve AmbriM
- 44D. ChantakiasM
- 20S. FiakasM
- 10Mike MoraisF
- 22K. NwakaliM
- 15S. PanteliD
- 16Constantinos PattichisM
- 19A. PortalesD
- 30M. SenićD
- 17panyiotis zachariouF
- 98F. UzohoG
- 8C. AristotelousM
- 89D. ČrnigojM
- 77Luís SantosF
- 1Nikos GrammatikakisG
- 4A. KaiafasD
- 43Antonis MavrantonisG
- 46M. SotiriouD
- 11Fergus TierneyM
- 5S. TsoukalasM
Cyprus 1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AEL | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou
- 30 March 2025Omonia 29is Maiou 0–3 AEL1. Division
- 14 December 2024AEL 1–1 Omonia 29is Maiou1. Division
- 24 August 2024Omonia 29is Maiou 2–4 AEL1. Division
The result against the call
AEL beat Omonia 29is Maiou 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for AEL at 40%. The goals: Joao Tavares 59' for AEL, Fergus Tierney 66' for Omonia 29is Maiou, Remi Oudin 81' for AEL.
How the call on AEL v Omonia 29is Maiou has moved
First published on 2 Oct at 38% / 27% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 40% / 26% / 34%: the biggest move is AEL's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- AEL win40%▲ +2
- Draw26%▼ −1
- Omonia 29is Maiou win34%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.