18 October 2026, 15:00 UTC

Omonia Aradippou vs AEL 1. Division prediction & result

Antonis Papadopoulos Stadium, Larnaca
Referee: Christou Konstantinos
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Omonia Aradippou 0-2 AEL.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Omonia Aradippou, 31% draw, 28% AEL — fair odds of 2.44, 3.23 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Omonia Aradippou at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Omonia Aradippou0%Draw1%AEL99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Minas Antoniou
15'
Jairo Izquierdo
19'
39'
diogo gomes
61'
⚽Luther Singh
63'
⚽Chinedu Geoffrey
🔁Achraf bouchataoui elout: curtis makosso
72'
🔁Giorgos Pontikosout: michalis koumouris
72'
🔁Niko Havelkaout: evripidou evripidou
72'
🔁Unai Garcíaout: gonzalez mathias
72'
75'
🔁Tavares jairout: Sergio Conceicao
75'
🔁Chinedu Geoffreyout: Ivan Milosavljevic
84'
🔁Luther Singhout: Danil Paroutis
84'
🔁Stevan Jovetićout: François Régis Mughe
86'
giorgios papageorgiou
🔁Jeremy van Mullemout: Sebastián Lomónaco
86'

Line-ups

Omonia Aradippou
  • 12Ž. ŽivkovićG
  • 14J. van MullemM
  • 9G. PontikosF
  • 23Bogdan PetrovicF
  • 20Jairo IzquierdoD
  • 6N. HavelkaM
  • 15Unai GarcíaD
  • 8A. El BouchataouiM
  • 81V. De MarcoD
  • 34Danny Agostinho HenriquesD
  • 22M. AntoniouD
Substitutes
  • 3A. ChristofiD
  • 10J. SchmidtM
  • 38A. PlumainF
  • 88G. PapacharalampousG
  • 91K. PanteliD
  • 41Mathias GonzalezF
  • 77C. MakossoF
  • 27S. LomónacoF
  • 7M. KoumourisF
Coach: G. Okkas
AEL
  • 1S. KapinoG
  • 6D. ZdravkovskiM
  • 80Jair TavaresF
  • 11L. SinghF
  • 23Diogo GomesM
  • 30G. PapageorgiouM
  • 10R. OudinF
  • 22K. NeofytouD
  • 9S. JovetićF
  • 99G. ChineduF
  • 33E. AntoniouD
Substitutes
  • 35Sérgio ConceiçãoD
  • 75Simonas ChristofiF
  • 17D. ParoutisF
  • 77F. MugheF
  • 19I. MilosavljevićM
  • 74Samy MerzoukG
  • 98P. KyriakouG
  • 70kyriacos kyriacouD
  • 2A. KaroD
Coach: Hugo Martins

Form going into Omonia Aradippou vs AEL

Omonia Aradippou

1. Division

  • L0-1away to AEK Larnaca12 October 2026

AEL

1. Division

  • W2-1Omonia 29is Maiou11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Cyprus 1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Omonia Aradippou9135713-66
3AEL96031414018

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Omonia Aradippou vs AEL

  • 4 April 2026Omonia Aradippou 0–3 AEL1. Division
  • 14 March 2026AEL 1–2 Omonia Aradippou1. Division
  • 7 December 2025Omonia Aradippou 1–3 AEL1. Division
  • 15 March 2025Omonia Aradippou 1–2 AEL1. Division
  • 22 December 2024Omonia Aradippou 2–2 AEL1. Division
  • 31 August 2024AEL 1–0 Omonia Aradippou1. Division

The result against the call

AEL won 2–0 at Omonia Aradippou. The model had leaned towards a win for Omonia Aradippou at 41% and given a win for AEL 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Luther Singh 61' for AEL, Chinedu Geoffrey 63' for AEL.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.