On the model's scale they rate 1.06 in attack and 0.84 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better): about average in attack, above it at the back. Next they host Luxembourg in the UEFA Nations League on 16 November 2026, a match the model gives them 58%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Iceland vs Luxembourg
Iceland host Luxembourg at Ice Rink Laugardalur, Reykjavik on 16 November 2026, 17:00 UTC. The model makes it 58% Iceland, 26% draw and 16% Luxembourg, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.69 expected goals for Iceland against 0.64. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 39% and over 2.5 goals at 41%.
Full preview and model analysis for Iceland vs Luxembourg
Recent meetings with Luxembourg
- 29 September 2026Luxembourg 0–3 IcelandUEFA Nations League
- 13 October 2023Iceland 1–1 LuxembourgEuro Championship - Qualification
- 8 September 2023Luxembourg 3–1 IcelandEuro Championship - Qualification
The last 3 meetings between the two, most recent first.
