8 November 2026, 21:30 UTC

Barcelona SC vs LDU de Quito Liga Pro prediction & result

Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha, Guayaquil
Referee: Gabriel Ismael Gonzalez Cordero
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Barcelona SC 1-1 LDU de Quito.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Barcelona SC, 29% draw, 25% LDU de Quito — fair odds of 2.17, 3.45 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published

Has the model earned this number?

Barcelona SC at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

17'
⚽Sebastián Gonzálezassist: Lucas Rodriguez
36'
Yerlin Quinonez
Bryan Carabali
39'
45'
Michael Estrada
⚽Gian Franco Allala (OG)
45+5'
45'
🔁Michael Estradaout: Janner Corozo
45'
🔁Yerlin Quinonezout: Washington Nahir Olvera Zambrano
45'
🔁Juan rodriguezout: Alexander Alvarado
Damián Díaz
50'
56'
🔁Sebastián Gonzálezout: Fernando Cornejo
Matias Gonzalo Lugo
58'
59'
Washington Nahir Olvera Zambrano
Bryan Carabali
61'
🔁Jefferson Wilaout: Byron Castillo
65'
🔁Damián Díazout: Luis Cano
68'
🔁Johan Garciaout: Sergio Díaz
69'
75'
🔁Lucas Rodriguezout: Deyverson
76'
Washington Nahir Olvera Zambrano
Tomás Rodríguez
80'
🔁Tomás Rodríguezout: Darío Benedetto
81'
🔁Jefferson Intriagoout: Jhonny Quinonez
81'
Exon Gustavo Vallecilla
82'
90+2'
Gian Franco Allala
90+4'
•Richard Mina

Match stats — Barcelona SC vs LDU de Quito

47%Possession53%
3Shots7
1On target3
5Corners3
0.16xG1.1

Goals against chances

Barcelona SC1 from 0.16 xGmore than the chances were worth
LDU de Quito1 from 1.10 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Barcelona SC 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. ContrerasG
  • 18B. CarabalíD
  • 33J. BáezD
  • 4G. VallecillaD
  • 27W. VargasD
  • 35J. IntriagoM
  • 32M. LugoM
  • 51Jefferson WilaM
  • 10D. DíazM
  • 50J. GarcíaM
  • 11T. RodríguezF
Substitutes
  • 9D. BenedettoF
  • 13José Luis AnguloG
  • 16L. CanoF
  • 26B. CastilloD
  • 8S. DíazF
  • 80Jandry GomezM
  • 23T. MartínezM
  • 7E. MendozaF
  • 15J. PerlazaF
Coach: Pablo Trobbiani
LDU de Quito 5-3-2
  • 1G. ValleG
  • 57M. WeigandtD
  • 30G. AllalaD
  • 3Richard Alexander Mina CaicedoD
  • 44L. SegoviaD
  • 23Yerlin QuinonezD
  • 31J. RodríguezM
  • 8J. PretellM
  • 5Sebastían González BaqueroM
  • 7L. RodríguezF
  • 11M. EstradaF
Substitutes
  • 77K. VelascoF
  • 33Leonel Enrique Quiñónez PadillaD
  • 18Washington Nahir Olvera ZambranoM
  • 22Alexander Domínguez CarabalíG
  • 28J. CueroD
  • 13J. CorozoF
  • 20F. CornejoM
  • 67J. CarabalíM
  • 16DeyversonF
Coach: Gustavo Álvarez

Form going into Barcelona SC vs LDU de Quito

Barcelona SC

Liga Pro

  • L0-3away to Macara31 October 2026
  • W4-0away to Aucas25 October 2026
  • D1-1Universidad Catolica Quito18 October 2026
  • L1-2away to LDU de Quito11 October 2026

LDU de Quito

Liga Pro

  • L0-2away to Independiente del Valle1 November 2026
  • L1-2Macara24 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Aucas17 October 2026
  • W2-1Barcelona SC11 October 2026

What these results say

  • Barcelona SC failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Barcelona SC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Barcelona SC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • LDU de Quito conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • LDU de Quito failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • LDU de Quito scored in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Barcelona SC351213103932+749
4LDU de Quito36159123832+654

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Barcelona SC vs LDU de Quito

Barcelona SC and LDU de Quito have met 7 times in the records we hold, LDU de Quito has won 4 of them to Barcelona SC's 1, with 2 drawn.

The record

They drew 1–1 at Barcelona SC on 8 Nov 2026.

ClubWDLGFGA
Barcelona SC124610
LDU de Quito421106

Between them these 7 meetings produced 16 goals, an average of 2.29 a game.

Every meeting

Every recorded meeting, newest first.

  • 8 Nov 2026
    Liga Pro    Barcelona SC 1–1 LDU de Quito
  • 11 Oct 2026
    Liga Pro    LDU de Quito 2–1 Barcelona SC
  • 27 Jul 2026
    Liga Pro    Barcelona SC 0–1 LDU de Quito
  • 4 Apr 2026
    Liga Pro    LDU de Quito 0–2 Barcelona SC
  • 23 Nov 2025
    Liga Pro    Barcelona SC 2–2 LDU de Quito
  • 18 Oct 2025
    Liga Pro    LDU de Quito 3–0 Barcelona SC
  • 25 Jul 2025
    Liga Pro    Barcelona SC 0–1 LDU de Quito

How the model rates them now

On the current ratings, Barcelona SC's attack rates 17% above LDU de Quito's, and the two defences are almost level. How the ratings are derived.

ClubAttackDefence
Barcelona SC0.771.16
LDU de Quito0.661.14

More head-to-heads on this week’s board →

Leading scorers: Barcelona SC and LDU de Quito

Barcelona SC

GoalsAssists

  • D. Benedetto92

LDU de Quito

GoalsAssists

  • M. Estrada72

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Barcelona SC and LDU de Quito drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Barcelona SC at 46% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Sebastián González 17' for LDU de Quito, Gian Franco Allala (own goal) 45+5' for Barcelona SC. Sent off: Bryan Carabali (Barcelona SC) 61', Washington Nahir Olvera Zambrano (LDU de Quito) 76'. On expected goals it finished 0.16–1.10.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.