League One

1. Huddersfield — 29 points from 14 played (8 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost), 28 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +16. Form, oldest first: W W W W D.
2. Stockport County — 29 points from 15 played (9 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 29 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference +14. Form, oldest first: W D L W W.
3. Oxford United — 26 points from 13 played (7 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost), 22 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +11. Form, oldest first: W D W D W.
4. Luton — 24 points from 14 played (7 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 27 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W W W W D.
5. Sheffield Wednesday — 23 points from 14 played (6 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost), 25 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference +11. Form, oldest first: L L D D W.
6. Plymouth — 23 points from 15 played (7 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost), 21 scored, 22 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: L L W D L.
7. Reading — 22 points from 15 played (6 won, 4 drawn, 5 lost), 26 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: W W D L L.
8. Bradford — 22 points from 13 played (6 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost), 10 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: D W D D L.
9. Milton Keynes Dons — 21 points from 14 played (5 won, 6 drawn, 3 lost), 28 scored, 22 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: L W W W W.
10. Cambridge United — 21 points from 14 played (5 won, 6 drawn, 3 lost), 21 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: W D L D L.
11. Leicester — 19 points from 13 played (5 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 22 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W W L W D.
12. Mansfield Town — 19 points from 13 played (5 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 20 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: D W W L D.
13. Wycombe — 18 points from 13 played (4 won, 6 drawn, 3 lost), 21 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L W D D W.
14. Leyton Orient — 17 points from 13 played (5 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost), 19 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference +5. Form, oldest first: D W L L W.
15. Burton Albion — 17 points from 15 played (4 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost), 20 scored, 27 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: D D W L L.
16. Stevenage — 16 points from 12 played (4 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 17 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: W L W L D.
17. AFC Wimbledon — 16 points from 14 played (4 won, 4 drawn, 6 lost), 10 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -11. Form, oldest first: L L D L W.
18. Notts County — 14 points from 12 played (3 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost), 13 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: L L W D W.
19. Wigan — 14 points from 15 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 9 lost), 13 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: L L W D W.
20. Blackpool — 12 points from 13 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 7 lost), 17 scored, 22 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: L W L D L.
21. Doncaster — 12 points from 13 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 7 lost), 14 scored, 22 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: L L W L L.
22. Peterborough — 10 points from 13 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 7 lost), 11 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference -12. Form, oldest first: W D L D L.
23. Barnsley — 9 points from 13 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 8 lost), 13 scored, 24 conceded, goal difference -11. Form, oldest first: L L L D L.
24. Bromley — 9 points from 13 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 8 lost), 13 scored, 33 conceded, goal difference -20. Form, oldest first: L L D L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 24 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Wigan — bottom-three risk down 14.3, to 23.6%.
• Barnsley — bottom-three risk up 9.5, to 42.2%.
• AFC Wimbledon — bottom-three risk down 9.1, to 40.5%.
• Blackpool — bottom-three risk up 7.9, to 22.7%.
• Burton Albion — chance of finishing top down 0.1, to 0%; bottom-three risk up 6.1, to 11.2%.

Season projection

Every one of the 389 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Semi-finals, Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Huddersfield — projected to finish on 87.1 points, from 29 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 32.2% (up 1.5), finishes top two 54%, bottom four 0%.
2. Oxford United — projected to finish on 86.3 points, from 26 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 28.2% (down 2.7), finishes top two 50.2%, bottom four 0%.
3. Stockport County — projected to finish on 80.8 points, from 29 after 15 played. Finishes top of the regular season 14.3% (up 4.2), finishes top two 28.8%, bottom four 0%.
4. Luton — projected to finish on 77.3 points, from 24 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 8.9% (up 0.4), finishes top two 19.1%, bottom four 0.3%.
5. Sheffield Wednesday — projected to finish on 74.7 points, from 23 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 5.1% (up 2.4), finishes top two 12%, bottom four 0.2%.
6. Reading — projected to finish on 72.1 points, from 22 after 15 played. Finishes top of the regular season 2.7% (down 2.2), finishes top two 7%, bottom four 0.5%.
7. Bradford — projected to finish on 70.1 points, from 22 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1% (down 0.4), finishes top two 3.7%, bottom four 0.6%.
8. Milton Keynes Dons — projected to finish on 69.2 points, from 21 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 2.1% (up 1.3), finishes top two 5.4%, bottom four 1.9%.
9. Mansfield Town — projected to finish on 69.2 points, from 19 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.6% (up 0.1), finishes top two 5.2%, bottom four 1%.
10. Plymouth — projected to finish on 69.2 points, from 23 after 15 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.9% (down 3.7), finishes top two 3.5%, bottom four 1.3%.
11. Leicester — projected to finish on 66.1 points, from 19 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.9% (down 0.1), finishes top two 3%, bottom four 3.2%.
12. Notts County — projected to finish on 65.6 points, from 14 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.5% (down 0.2), finishes top two 1.7%, bottom four 2%.
13. Stevenage — projected to finish on 65 points, from 16 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.5% (down 0.2), finishes top two 1.9%, bottom four 2.1%.
14. Wycombe — projected to finish on 64.9 points, from 18 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.6% (down 0.2), finishes top two 2.1%, bottom four 3%.
15. Cambridge United — projected to finish on 64 points, from 21 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2% (down 0.2), finishes top two 1.2%, bottom four 2.4%.
16. Leyton Orient — projected to finish on 63 points, from 17 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.4% (up 0.1), finishes top two 1.3%, bottom four 3.9%.
17. Burton Albion — projected to finish on 54.1 points, from 17 after 15 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.1), finishes top two 0.1%, bottom four 19.4%.
18. Blackpool — projected to finish on 50.8 points, from 12 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 32.3%.
19. Wigan — projected to finish on 49.5 points, from 14 after 15 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 37%.
20. Doncaster — projected to finish on 48.2 points, from 12 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 40.1%.
21. Peterborough — projected to finish on 46.8 points, from 10 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 46.8%.
22. AFC Wimbledon — projected to finish on 45.7 points, from 16 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 55.1%.
23. Barnsley — projected to finish on 45.3 points, from 9 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 54%.
24. Bromley — projected to finish on 33.8 points, from 9 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 93%.

Top scorers

1. A. Collins (Milton Keynes Dons) — 13 goals, 3 assists.
2. K. Wootton (Stockport County) — 10 goals, 2 assists.
3. J. Taylor (Huddersfield) — 10 goals, 2 assists.
4. J. Marriott (Reading) — 9 goals.
5. D. Sanches Fernandes (Huddersfield) — 7 goals, 6 assists.
6. N. Wells (Luton) — 7 goals, 2 assists.
7. J. Diamond (Stockport County) — 6 goals, 3 assists.
8. M. Smith (Mansfield Town) — 6 goals, 2 assists.
9. J. Stockley (AFC Wimbledon) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
10. M. Harris (Oxford United) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
11. E. Riis (Leicester) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
12. J. Wareham (Wycombe) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
13. Kyreece Lisbie (Reading) — 5 goals, 5 assists.
14. A. Pepple (Plymouth) — 5 goals.
15. J. Lowe (Sheffield Wednesday) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
16. F. Onyedinma (Wycombe) — 4 goals, 3 assists.
17. J. Donley (Luton) — 4 goals, 3 assists.
18. B. Knight (Cambridge United) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
19. G. O'Donkor (Oxford United) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
20. J. Kabia (Leyton Orient) — 4 goals, 2 assists.