Premier League (England)

1. Arsenal — 27 points from 10 played (9 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost), 15 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference +10. Form, oldest first: W W W W W.
2. Brighton — 22 points from 10 played (7 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 26 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +19. Form, oldest first: W W L W W.
3. Manchester City — 21 points from 10 played (7 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost), 21 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: W W L L L.
4. Liverpool — 18 points from 10 played (5 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 14 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: L W W L W.
5. Chelsea — 16 points from 10 played (5 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost), 19 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W W L W L.
6. Everton — 16 points from 10 played (4 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost), 12 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: D L L W W.
7. Bournemouth — 15 points from 10 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 16 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: L W W W W.
8. Brentford — 14 points from 10 played (3 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost), 16 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +5. Form, oldest first: D L D W L.
9. Leeds — 14 points from 10 played (3 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost), 10 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: L D D L W.
10. Aston Villa — 13 points from 10 played (3 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost), 14 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: D W W D D.
11. Tottenham — 12 points from 10 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 10 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: D W W W L.
12. Newcastle — 12 points from 10 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 13 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: L L W L D.
13. Hull City — 11 points from 10 played (2 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost), 11 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: D L D D L.
14. Ipswich — 11 points from 10 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 15 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: W L D D L.
15. Fulham — 10 points from 10 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 10 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L W W D D.
16. Nottingham Forest — 9 points from 10 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 5 lost), 9 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: L L D L W.
17. Coventry — 9 points from 10 played (3 won, 0 drawn, 7 lost), 10 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: W L L W L.
18. Manchester United — 8 points from 10 played (1 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost), 14 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: D D L L D.
19. Sunderland — 8 points from 10 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost), 8 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: L L D L W.
20. Crystal Palace — 7 points from 10 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 7 lost), 10 scored, 24 conceded, goal difference -14. Form, oldest first: W L L L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 14 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Coventry — bottom-three risk down 1.3, to 51.1%.
• Fulham — bottom-three risk up 0.9, to 17.9%.
• Arsenal — title chance down 0.1, to 62.6%.
• Aston Villa — bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 0.7%.
• Bournemouth — title chance up 0.1, to 0.3%.

Season projection

Every one of the 280 matches this competition has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. Movement is measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Arsenal — projected to finish on 85.6 points, from 27 after 10 played. Wins it 62.6% (down 0.1), finishes top four 98.4%, bottom three 0%.
2. Brighton — projected to finish on 76.5 points, from 22 after 10 played. Wins it 16.5%, finishes top four 89.4%, bottom three 0%.
3. Manchester City — projected to finish on 75.3 points, from 21 after 10 played. Wins it 15.3% (up 0.1), finishes top four 83.9%, bottom three 0%.
4. Liverpool — projected to finish on 69.3 points, from 18 after 10 played. Wins it 4.4% (down 0.1), finishes top four 63.7%, bottom three 0%.
5. Aston Villa — projected to finish on 58.7 points, from 13 after 10 played. Wins it 0.3%, finishes top four 17.4%, bottom three 0.7%.
6. Chelsea — projected to finish on 56.2 points, from 16 after 10 played. Wins it 0.2%, finishes top four 11.4%, bottom three 1.2%.
7. Bournemouth — projected to finish on 55.9 points, from 15 after 10 played. Wins it 0.3% (up 0.1), finishes top four 11.2%, bottom three 1.1%.
8. Brentford — projected to finish on 55.1 points, from 14 after 10 played. Wins it 0.3%, finishes top four 10.1%, bottom three 2.9%.
9. Leeds — projected to finish on 51 points, from 14 after 10 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 3.1%, bottom three 4.1%.
10. Everton — projected to finish on 50.3 points, from 16 after 10 played. Wins it 0.1%, finishes top four 4.2%, bottom three 5.5%.
11. Manchester United — projected to finish on 49.8 points, from 8 after 10 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 3.8%, bottom three 5.9%.
12. Nottingham Forest — projected to finish on 45.5 points, from 9 after 10 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 1%, bottom three 13%.
13. Hull City — projected to finish on 45.1 points, from 11 after 10 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0.8%, bottom three 13.7%.
14. Tottenham — projected to finish on 43.9 points, from 12 after 10 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0.4%, bottom three 15.7%.
15. Newcastle — projected to finish on 43.6 points, from 12 after 10 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0.8%, bottom three 21.9%.
16. Fulham — projected to finish on 42.6 points, from 10 after 10 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0.2%, bottom three 17.9%.
17. Ipswich — projected to finish on 41.1 points, from 11 after 10 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0.3%, bottom three 28.6%.
18. Sunderland — projected to finish on 37.8 points, from 8 after 10 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 41.7%.
19. Coventry — projected to finish on 36.2 points, from 9 after 10 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 51.1%.
20. Crystal Palace — projected to finish on 30.9 points, from 7 after 10 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 75%.

Top scorers

1. E. Haaland (Manchester City) — 9 goals.
2. A. Isak (Liverpool) — 7 goals.
3. T. Barry (Everton) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
4. N. Jackson (Aston Villa) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
5. Evanilson (Bournemouth) — 5 goals, 4 assists.
6. João Pedro (Chelsea) — 5 goals, 3 assists.
7. R. Cherki (Manchester City) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
8. M. Rogers (Chelsea) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
9. M. Tavernier (Bournemouth) — 5 goals.
10. B. Mbeumo (Manchester United) — 4 goals.
11. P. Groß (Brighton) — 4 goals, 4 assists.
12. Bruno Fernandes (Manchester United) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
13. C. Kostoulas (Brighton) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
14. M. Belloumi (Hull City) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
15. Pedro Neto (Chelsea) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
16. D. Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
17. K. Dewsbury-Hall (Everton) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
18. K. Havertz (Arsenal) — 3 goals.
19. K. Schade (Brentford) — 3 goals.
20. M. Ødegaard (Arsenal) — 3 goals.