5 September 2026, 16:00 UTC

Aarhus vs Silkeborg Superliga prediction & result

New Vejlby Stadium, Aarhus
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Aarhus 2-2 Silkeborg.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Aarhus, 28% draw, 28% Silkeborg — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Aarhus at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Aarhus0%Draw5%Silkeborg95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

26'
•Rami Hajal
29'
⚽Rami Hajal (pen)
39'
⚽Lucas Thorst Riisgaardassist: William Kirk
🔁Rasmus Carstensenout: Frederik Emmery
45'
🔁James Bogereout: Janni Serra
45'
🔁Tobias Bech Kristensenout: Callum McCowatt
63'
67'
🔁Rami Hajalout: Kristian Kirkegaard
🔁Colin Roslerout: Jacob Andersen
71'
71'
🔁William Kirkout: Andreas Poulsen
71'
🔁Oliver Rossout: Malthe Emil Søgaard Hansen
🔁Magnus Knudsenout: Stefen Tchamche
79'
82'
🔁Lucas Thorst Riisgaardout: Julius Lorents Nielsen
82'
🔁Villads Westhout: Maël Durand de Gevigney
⚽Janni Serraassist: Frederik Emmery
88'
Mikael Anderson
90+1'
⚽Janni Serra
90+3'

Match stats — Aarhus vs Silkeborg

62%Possession38%
16Shots10
6On target4
8Corners4

Line-ups

Aarhus 3-4-2-1
  • 21M. Hedenstad ChristiansenG
  • 25C. RöslerD
  • 33Luka CalløD
  • 19E. KahlD
  • 29R. CarstensenM
  • 4M. KnudsenM
  • 10Kristian Fredrik Malt ArnstadM
  • 23M. AndersonM
  • 31T. BechM
  • 8S. JørgensenM
  • 28J. BogereF
Substitutes
  • 1J. HansenG
  • 26J. AndersenD
  • 14T. MølgaardD
  • 3D. GrétarssonD
  • 39Frederik EmmeryF
  • 18C. McCowattM
  • 16J. JønssonM
  • 27S. TchamcheF
  • 13J. SerraF
Coach: J. Poulsen
Silkeborg 3-4-2-1
  • 1A. AndrésenG
  • 24A. MadsenD
  • 3R. ØstrømD
  • 29W. MollerD
  • 7V. WesthM
  • 20M. LarsenM
  • 27W. KirkM
  • 19J. GammelbyM
  • 21L. RiisgaardM
  • 11O. RossM
  • 22R. Al HajjF
Substitutes
  • 10Y. BakizM
  • 14S. BergerM
  • 6M. de GevigneyD
  • 23M. HansenF
  • 8K. KirkegaardM
  • 36J. NielsenM
  • 30T. MikkelsenG
  • 2A. PoulsenD
  • 42Kristian Bloch BøgildF
Coach: M. Dahm Kjaergaard

Form going into Aarhus vs Silkeborg

Aarhus

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2FC Midtjylland2 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Randers FC30 August 2026
  • L1-3Benfica27 August 2026
  • D2-2Odense23 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Benfica20 August 2026

Silkeborg

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1FC Midtjylland30 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Brondby24 August 2026
  • L0-1away to FC Nordsjaelland16 August 2026
  • W1-0Odense10 August 2026
  • L1-3FC Copenhagen2 August 2026

What these results say

  • Aarhus did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Aarhus conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Aarhus scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Silkeborg failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Silkeborg scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Silkeborg conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Aarhus143651921-215
9Silkeborg143651824-615

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Aarhus vs Silkeborg

  • 21 November 2025Silkeborg 0–2 AarhusSuperliga
  • 5 October 2025Aarhus 3–1 SilkeborgSuperliga
  • 1 December 2024Silkeborg 1–1 AarhusSuperliga
  • 15 September 2024Aarhus 1–1 SilkeborgSuperliga
  • 16 May 2024Aarhus 0–1 SilkeborgSuperliga

Leading scorers: Aarhus and Silkeborg

Aarhus

GoalsAssists

  • J. Serra50

Silkeborg

GoalsAssists

  • O. Ross72

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Aarhus and Silkeborg drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Aarhus at 44% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Rami Hajal (penalty) 29' for Silkeborg, Lucas Thorst Riisgaard 39' for Silkeborg, Janni Serra 88' for Aarhus, Janni Serra 90+3' for Aarhus.

How the call on Aarhus v Silkeborg has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 47% / 28% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 44% / 28% / 28%: the biggest move is Aarhus's chance of winning, down 3 points.

  1. Aarhus win44%▼ −3
  2. Draw28%=
  3. Silkeborg win28%▲ +3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.