HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek HNL prediction & result
Final score: HNK Rijeka 4-1 NK Osijek.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% HNK Rijeka, 29% draw, 29% NK Osijek — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts HNK Rijeka at 42% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek
HNK Rijeka
- D0-0away to HNK Gorica31 August 2026
- W3-2Istra 196123 August 2026
- L0-2away to NK Varazdin16 August 2026
NK Osijek
- W3-0NK Slaven Belupo30 August 2026
- L0-4away to HNK Hajduk Split23 August 2026
- W1-0NK Lokomotiva Zagreb15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
HNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 2 | NK Osijek | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek
- 12 April 2026HNK Rijeka 0–2 NK OsijekHNL
- 1 February 2026NK Osijek 1–0 HNK RijekaHNL
- 27 October 2025HNK Rijeka 4–2 NK OsijekHNL
- 9 August 2025NK Osijek 0–0 HNK RijekaHNL
- 23 April 2025HNK Rijeka 0–2 NK OsijekHNL
- 16 February 2025NK Osijek 0–2 HNK RijekaHNL
Leading scorers: HNK Rijeka and NK Osijek
HNK Rijeka
- D. Adu-Adjei3 goals1 assists
- T. Fruk2 goals3 assists
NK Osijek
- A. León5 goals1 assists
- N. Omerović5 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.