AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: AEK Athens FC 5-0 Aris Thessalonikis.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% AEK Athens FC, 29% draw, 24% Aris Thessalonikis — fair odds of 2.13, 3.45 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
AEK Athens FC at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis
Line-ups
- 1T. StrakoshaG
- 12L. RotaD
- 2H. MoukoudiD
- 44Filipe RelvasD
- 3S. PiliosD
- 14L. MajerM
- 27M. VitálisM
- 18R. MarinM
- 8M. GaćinovićM
- 19B. VargaF
- 9L. JovićF
- 17Dimitrios KaloskamisM
- 16K. ArriagaM
- 22C. LykogiannisD
- 20P. MantalosM
- 23João MárioM
- 15M. TodorskiD
- 21D. VidaD
- 11A. KoitaF
- 10O. ZubkovM
- 33Ricardo VelhoG
- 27N. FadigaD
- 44B. ŠutaloD
- 97F. JensenD
- 3O. RichardsD
- 20T. Dele-BashiruM
- 10U. RačićM
- 7B. GarréM
- 5Manu GarcíaM
- 70G. GianniotasM
- 9T. KadewereF
- 41Konstantinos CharoupasM
- 1S. DioudisG
- 18M. HonglaM
- 8C. KouaméF
- 21L. MajkićG
- 17Rafa MirF
- 80Loren MorónF
- 34S. PalaciosF
- 2J. PétrisD
Form going into AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis
AEK Athens FC
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Kifisia30 August 2026
- W4-0Levski Sofia26 August 2026
- W4-0Iraklis 190822 August 2026
- D0-0away to Levski Sofia18 August 2026
Aris Thessalonikis
All competitions we cover
- W2-1OFI30 August 2026
- W3-2away to Kalamata22 August 2026
What these results say
- AEK Athens FC went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- AEK Athens FC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- AEK Athens FC kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AEK Athens FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 6 | +17 | 20 |
| 5 | Aris Thessalonikis | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis
- 11 January 2026Aris Thessalonikis 1–1 AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
- 23 November 2025AEK Athens FC 1–0 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
- 9 March 2025Aris Thessalonikis 0–0 AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
- 3 December 2024Aris Thessalonikis 1–1 AEK Athens FCCup
- 30 November 2024AEK Athens FC 4–0 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
Leading scorers: AEK Athens FC and Aris Thessalonikis
AEK Athens FC
GoalsAssists
- B. Varga60
- L. Jović50
- Zini30
Aris Thessalonikis
GoalsAssists
- Fabiano40
- C. Kouamé30
- T. Kadewere30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
AEK Athens FC beat Aris Thessalonikis 5–0. The model had made a win for AEK Athens FC its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Barnabás Varga 11' for AEK Athens FC, Barnabás Varga 62' for AEK Athens FC, Răzvan Marin 66' for AEK Athens FC, Aboubakary Koita 75' for AEK Athens FC, Ambrósini António Cabaça Salvador 90' for AEK Athens FC.