Volos NFC vs Olympiakos Piraeus Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Volos NFC 1-1 Olympiakos Piraeus.
Before kick-off the model made it 23% Volos NFC, 27% draw, 50% Olympiakos Piraeus — fair odds of 4.35, 3.70 and 2.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Olympiakos Piraeus at 50% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Volos NFC vs Olympiakos Piraeus
Line-ups
- 1M. SiampanisG
- 22Giorgos MigasD
- 15H. EssaoubiD
- 4G. KargasD
- 37H. MendylD
- 8M. CombaM
- 88K. BareM
- 10JocaM
- 21M. GonzálezM
- 7L. LamprouM
- 9Jan HurtadoF
- 49Giorgos CharalampoglouF
- 99D. AgyakwaD
- 30A. GaravelasF
- 17Vasileios GrosdisM
- 24K. LykourinosD
- 11Gustavo FurtadoM
- 89Fabio RefatllariM
- 20Francesc RegisF
- 6T. TsokanisM
- 1S. OrtegaG
- 2M. SaliakasD
- 45P. RetsosD
- 5L. PirolaD
- 70S. OnyemaechiD
- 32S. HezzeM
- 14Dani GarcíaM
- 20Jota SilvaM
- 22ChiquinhoM
- 73Joel RocaM
- 9A. El KaabiF
- 27M. PedersenD
- 6David CarmoD
- 31B. PopovićG
- 15G. PuertaM
- 16L. ScipioniM
- 4Z. SmajlovićD
- 71N. TiknizyanD
- 34A. GonzálezF
- 19R. FreulerM
Form going into Volos NFC vs Olympiakos Piraeus
Volos NFC
- D1-1Iraklis 190829 August 2026
- L0-2away to OFI23 August 2026
Olympiakos Piraeus
- W1-0away to Asteras Tripolis30 August 2026
- W1-0Atromitos22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Volos NFC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
| 6 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Volos NFC vs Olympiakos Piraeus
- 8 September 2026Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Volos NFCCup
- 5 September 2026Volos NFC 1–1 Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
- 24 January 2026Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Volos NFCSuper League 1
- 29 October 2025Olympiakos Piraeus 5–0 Volos NFCCup
- 30 August 2025Volos NFC 0–2 Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
- 7 December 2024Olympiakos Piraeus 3–0 Volos NFCSuper League 1
Leading scorers: Volos NFC and Olympiakos Piraeus
Volos NFC
- M. González2 goals
Olympiakos Piraeus
- Jota Silva2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.