8 November 2026, 15:30 UTC

AIK Stockholm vs BK Hacken Allsvenskan prediction & result

Strawberry Arena, Solna
Referee: Granit Maqedonci
Full time3 – 2

Final score: AIK Stockholm 3-2 BK Hacken.

Before kick-off the model made it 31% AIK Stockholm, 24% draw, 45% BK Hacken — fair odds of 3.23, 4.17 and 2.22.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

BK Hacken at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

AIK Stockholm4%Draw91%BK Hacken5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Johan Hoveassist: Sixten Gustafsson
27'
Dino Beširović
36'
50'
⚽Mikkel Rygaard Jensenassist: Gustav Lindgren
⚽Charlie Steven Brian Paveyassist: axel kouame
52'
Yannick Emilio Geiger
57'
62'
⚽adrian svanbackassist: Adam Lundqvist
🔁Dino Beširovićout: Martin Ellingsen
62'
🔁Lucas Assadiout: Kevin Filling
62'
74'
🔁Julius Lindbergout: Wilson Elliot Lindberg Uhrström
Kristoffer Nordfeldt
79'
🔁Charlie Steven Brian Paveyout: Lukas Bergquist
80'
🔁Sixten Gustafssonout: linus jareteg
80'
82'
🔁Harry Joachim Hilveniusout: Filip Helander
Martin Ellingsen
83'
🔁Fredrik Nissenout: Wilmer Olofsson
88'
⚽Eskil Smidesang Edhassist: Kristoffer Nordfeldt
90'

Match stats — AIK Stockholm vs BK Hacken

46%Possession54%
16Shots16
7On target9
5Corners4
2.63xG2.09

Goals against chances

AIK Stockholm3 from 2.63 xGabout what the chances were worth
BK Hacken2 from 2.09 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

AIK Stockholm 4-2-3-1
  • 15K. NordfeldtG
  • 2E. EdhD
  • 14F. NissenD
  • 3H. MatthysD
  • 12C. PaveyD
  • 46Yannick GeigerM
  • 19D. BeširovićM
  • 8J. HoveM
  • 48A. KouameM
  • 10L. AssadiM
  • 16Sixten GustafssonF
Substitutes
  • 5L. BergquistD
  • 6M. EllingsenM
  • 29K. FillingF
  • 28L. JäretegM
  • 30K. JoelssonG
  • 33D. TomasD
  • 21S. WilsonM
  • 34W. OlofssonD
  • 42Max Karimatsenga
Coach: Jose Riveiro
BK Hacken 4-2-3-1
  • 99E. BerishaG
  • 5B. WembangomoD
  • 13H. HilveniusD
  • 15L. VäisänenD
  • 21A. LundkvistD
  • 6A. DoumbiaM
  • 19D. SegerM
  • 20A. SvanbäckM
  • 10M. RygaardM
  • 11Julius LindbergM
  • 9G. LindgrenF
Substitutes
  • 32H. IbrahimM
  • 18W. UhrströmM
  • 1A. LindeG
  • 24Bamir SadikuF
  • 23O. SamuelssonD
  • 27C. WawaF
  • 8S. HestnesM
  • 22F. HelanderD
  • 7M. AggerF
Coach: J. Gustafsson

Form going into AIK Stockholm vs BK Hacken

AIK Stockholm

Allsvenskan

  • L1-2away to Gais2 November 2026
  • D2-2IF Elfsborg27 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Sirius24 October 2026
  • D2-2IFK Goteborg17 October 2026

BK Hacken

Allsvenskan

  • W1-0IFK Goteborg1 November 2026
  • D0-0away to IF Brommapojkarna28 October 2026
  • W4-0Degerfors IF24 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Malmo FF18 October 2026

What these results say

  • AIK Stockholm scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • AIK Stockholm conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for AIK Stockholm had three goals or more.
  • BK Hacken went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • BK Hacken kept a clean sheet in every one of these 4 matches.
  • BK Hacken won 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8AIK Stockholm2811894649-341
4BK Hacken28131055033+1749

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: AIK Stockholm vs BK Hacken

  • 27 July 2026BK Hacken 0–0 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan
  • 9 March 2026AIK Stockholm 4–0 BK HackenSvenska Cupen
  • 26 October 2025AIK Stockholm 2–2 BK HackenAllsvenskan
  • 14 May 2025BK Hacken 3–3 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan
  • 6 October 2024AIK Stockholm 0–2 BK HackenAllsvenskan
  • 2 June 2024BK Hacken 4–1 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: AIK Stockholm and BK Hacken

AIK Stockholm

GoalsAssists

  • J. Hove113

BK Hacken

GoalsAssists

  • G. Lindgren132
  • Julius Lindberg98
  • A. Svanbäck88

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

AIK Stockholm beat BK Hacken 3–2. The model had leaned towards a win for BK Hacken at 45% and given a win for AIK Stockholm 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Johan Hove 27' for AIK Stockholm, Mikkel Rygaard Jensen 50' for BK Hacken, Charlie Steven Brian Pavey 52' for AIK Stockholm, adrian svanback 62' for BK Hacken, Eskil Smidesang Edh 90' for AIK Stockholm. On expected goals it finished 2.63–2.09.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave BK Hacken a 11.7% chance to finish in the top three: 17.3% after a win, 9.1% after a draw, 2.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 2.4%, 9.3 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Allsvenskan season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.