8 November 2026, 13:00 UTC

Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF Allsvenskan prediction & result

Orjans Vall, Halmstad
Referee: Victor Wolf
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Halmstad 2-1 Djurgardens IF.

Before kick-off the model made it 13% Halmstad, 22% draw, 65% Djurgardens IF — fair odds of 7.69, 4.55 and 1.54.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Djurgardens IF at 65%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Halmstad93%Draw7%Djurgardens IF0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Omar Faraj
22'
56'
⚽Jeppe Okkels
61'
Jacob Une Larsson
🔁Oliver Kapsimalisout: Rami Kaib
64'
66'
🔁Jeppe Okkelsout: Abdul abdulmalik
67'
Peter Langhoff
70'
🔁Charlie Rosenquistout: Christos Almyras
70'
🔁Peter Langhoffout: Oskar Fallenius
🔁Ludvig Arvidssonout: Marvin Illary
79'
🔁Joel Allanssonout: Niilo Mäenpää
79'
⚽Marvin Illaryassist: Hussein Carneil
87'
🔁Rocco Asconeout: Filip·Schyberg
89'
🔁Omar Farajout: Ajdin Zeljkovic
89'
🔁Rocco Asconeout: Filip·Schyberg
89'
🔁Omar Farajout: Ajdin Zeljkovic
89'

Match stats — Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF

40%Possession60%
9Shots17
6On target3
8Corners7
1.15xG1.42

Goals against chances

Halmstad2 from 1.15 xGmore than the chances were worth
Djurgardens IF1 from 1.42 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Halmstad 4-1-4-1
  • 1T. RönningG
  • 17A. BomanD
  • 5P. GregorD
  • 16E. TõugjasD
  • 22Oliver KapsimalisD
  • 28T. TrybullM
  • 11L. ArvidssonM
  • 27R. AsconeM
  • 6J. AllanssonM
  • 14H. CarneilM
  • 9O. FarajF
Substitutes
  • 25A. Damnjanovic NilssonM
  • 19M. IllaryM
  • 24R. KaibD
  • 8N. MäenpääM
  • 18Malte PerssonF
  • 4F. SchybergD
  • 3G. WallentinD
  • 35A. WihedG
  • 23A. ZeljkovicF
Coach: S. Baxter
Djurgardens IF 4-2-3-1
  • 35J. RinneG
  • 18A. StåhlD
  • 5M. TenhoD
  • 4J. Une-LarssonD
  • 2P. JohanssonD
  • 6P. LanghoffM
  • 20M. SiltanenM
  • 14C. RosenquistM
  • 16Bo Åsulv HeglandM
  • 19J. OkkelsM
  • 9K. LienF
Substitutes
  • 21M. MarquesD
  • 27S. RingbergF
  • 29A. JohanssonM
  • 24M. LarssonM
  • 11O. FalleniusF
  • 8P. ÅslundM
  • 7Christos AlmyrasM
  • 10Abdul AbdulmalikM
  • 30Lukas Henrik JonssonG
Coach: Jani Honkavaara

Form going into Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF

Halmstad

Allsvenskan

  • L0-2away to Sirius3 November 2026
  • L0-3Malmo FF28 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Vasteras SK FK23 October 2026
  • L0-1Hammarby FF18 October 2026

Djurgardens IF

Allsvenskan

  • W2-1Degerfors IF1 November 2026
  • D1-1away to IFK Goteborg28 October 2026
  • D2-2Orgryte IS24 October 2026
  • W2-0away to IF Brommapojkarna16 October 2026

What these results say

  • Halmstad conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Halmstad failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Halmstad failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Djurgardens IF went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Djurgardens IF scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Djurgardens IF conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Halmstad2855182052-3220
3Djurgardens IF2816485627+2952

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF

  • 13 July 2026Djurgardens IF 3–0 HalmstadAllsvenskan
  • 3 August 2025Djurgardens IF 1–1 HalmstadAllsvenskan
  • 1 June 2025Halmstad 1–0 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
  • 3 November 2024Halmstad 1–0 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
  • 20 May 2024Djurgardens IF 2–0 HalmstadAllsvenskan
  • 30 September 2023Djurgardens IF 1–0 HalmstadAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: Halmstad and Djurgardens IF

Halmstad

No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.

Djurgardens IF

GoalsAssists

  • K. Lien166
  • Bo Åsulv Hegland1116
  • C. Rosenquist81

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Halmstad beat Djurgardens IF 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Djurgardens IF at 65% and given a win for Halmstad 13%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 8 matches like this one. The goals: Omar Faraj 22' for Halmstad, Jeppe Okkels 56' for Djurgardens IF, Marvin Illary 87' for Halmstad. On expected goals it finished 1.15–1.42.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Halmstad a 97.8% chance to finish in the bottom two: 89.6% after a win, 96.4% after a draw, 99.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 89.6%, 8.2 points lower than before the match.

For Djurgardens IF the question was the chance to finish in the top three, 88.6% going in: 93.2% after a win, 78.3% after a draw, 76.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 76.1%, 12.5 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Allsvenskan season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.