8 November 2026, 13:00 UTC

IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF Allsvenskan prediction & result

Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg
Referee: Adi Aganovic
Full time0 – 0

Final score: IFK Goteborg 0-0 Malmo FF.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% IFK Goteborg, 27% draw, 38% Malmo FF — fair odds of 2.86, 3.70 and 2.63.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Malmo FF at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

IFK Goteborg4%Draw92%Malmo FF4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Tobias Heintz
32'
45'
🔁Anton Sebastian Höögout: Jovan Milosavljević
46'
Jovan Milosavljević
56'
Diego García
63'
🔁Diego Garcíaout: Daniel Gudjohnsen
63'
🔁Otto Rosengrenout: Mayckel Lahdo
Hjörtur Hermannsson
70'
Jonas Bager
75'
75'
Daniel Gudjohnsen
75'
Sead Hakšabanović
80'
🔁Stian Gregersenout: Bleon Kurtulus
🔁Nino Žugeljout: Kolbeinn Thordarson
83'
88'
🔁Theodor Lundberghout: Anders Christiansen
🔁Alexander Simmelhackout: Max Johannes Whitta Fenger
89'

Match stats — IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF

38%Possession62%
18Shots11
3On target5
6Corners3
1.93xG1.48

Goals against chances

IFK Goteborg0 from 1.93 xGless than the chances were worth
Malmo FF0 from 1.48 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

IFK Goteborg 4-4-2
  • 12V. AnderssonG
  • 18F. ErikssonD
  • 5J. BagerD
  • 6H. HermannssonD
  • 22Noah TolfD
  • 4K. AckermannM
  • 24O. ManssonM
  • 15D. KruseM
  • 14T. HeintzM
  • 11N. ŽugeljF
  • 7Alexander Illum SimmelhackF
Substitutes
  • 25E. BishesariG
  • 26E. FasthD
  • 9M. FengerF
  • 17A. JallowD
  • 35N. LundenM
  • 21L. RadakovicM
  • 28I. SeiduD
  • 23K. ÞórðarsonM
  • 20G. ErsoyD
Coach: Joachim Björklund
Malmo FF 4-3-3
  • 1R. OlsenG
  • 17J. Stryger LarsenD
  • 2S. GregersenD
  • 44M. PålssonD
  • 25BusanelloD
  • 7O. RosengrenM
  • 37A. SkogmarM
  • 47Theodor LundberghM
  • 45A. HoogF
  • 9Diego GarcíaF
  • 29S. HakšabanovićF
Substitutes
  • 11E. EkongM
  • 32D. GuðjohnsenF
  • 42V. JeppssonM
  • 4B. KurtulusD
  • 15M. LahdoF
  • 28J. MilosavljevićM
  • 54amadeus sundgrenD
  • 27J. DahlinG
  • 10A. ChristiansenM
Coach: G. Helstrup

Form going into IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF

IFK Goteborg

Allsvenskan

  • L0-1away to BK Hacken1 November 2026
  • D1-1Djurgardens IF28 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Gais25 October 2026
  • D2-2away to AIK Stockholm17 October 2026

Malmo FF

Allsvenskan

  • L1-2Hammarby FF1 November 2026
  • W3-0away to Halmstad28 October 2026
  • D0-0away to IF Elfsborg23 October 2026
  • L0-1BK Hacken18 October 2026

What these results say

  • IFK Goteborg did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • IFK Goteborg conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • IFK Goteborg scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Malmo FF failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10IFK Goteborg2810993646-1039
7Malmo FF28125114236+641

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF

  • 12 July 2026Malmo FF 4–0 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
  • 24 August 2025Malmo FF 0–0 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
  • 25 May 2025IFK Goteborg 1–0 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
  • 16 March 2025Malmo FF 3–2 IFK GoteborgSvenska Cupen
  • 28 October 2024Malmo FF 2–1 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
  • 13 May 2024IFK Goteborg 0–3 Malmo FFAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: IFK Goteborg and Malmo FF

IFK Goteborg

GoalsAssists

  • S. Larsson83

Malmo FF

GoalsAssists

  • E. Botheim103

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

IFK Goteborg and Malmo FF drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Malmo FF at 38% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 1.93–1.48.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.