18 October 2026, 15:45 UTC

Ajman vs Sharjah FC Pro League prediction & result

Ajman Stadium, Ajman
Full time1 – 3

Final score: Ajman 1-3 Sharjah FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Ajman, 24% draw, 35% Sharjah FC — fair odds of 2.44, 4.17 and 2.86.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Ajman at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Victor Henrique Cardoso Santos
11'
45'
🔁Igor Coronadoout: Léo Azevedo
🔁Vitor Hugo Brenneisen Vargasout: Yassine Jabri
45'
45'
🔁Lorran Lucasout: Ousmane Camara
•Yuri Matias
49'
56'
Léo Azevedo
62'
⚽Ousmane Camaraassist: Yahya Al-Ghassani
64'
🔁Yahya Al-Ghassaniout: Harib Abdalla Suhail
🔁Lithierry da Silva Nevesout: Mohammad Juma Eid
67'
🔁Bilal Yousifout: Victor Hugo Ramos de Souza
68'
77'
🔁Agner Moura Izigethy de Souzaout: Cheicka Doumbia
🔁Saad El Hadaniout: Anas Mtitache
80'
83'
⚽Yuri Matias (OG)
84'
🔁Laba Kodjoout: Majed Hassan Ahmed
88'
⚽Harib Abdalla Suhailassist: Ousmane Camara
🔁Ismail Moumenout: Abdulla Abdelaziz
90'
Mohamed Nasser
90+1'
90+2'
Majed Hassan Ahmed

Match stats — Ajman vs Sharjah FC

48%Possession52%
13Shots16
4On target8
4Corners14
1.17xG0.9

Goals against chances

Ajman1 from 1.17 xGabout what the chances were worth
Sharjah FC3 from 0.90 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Ajman 4-2-3-1
  • 81A. Al HosaniG
  • 12Mohamed NasserD
  • 5G. ZajkovD
  • 44Yuri MatiasD
  • 22Vitor VargasD
  • 26Bilal YousefM
  • 18I. MoumenM
  • 99Victor HenriqueM
  • 48Saad El HadaniM
  • 33LithierryM
  • 7LourencyF
Substitutes
  • 10Mohammad JumaM
  • 2Abdelrahman RakanD
  • 3Abdulla SalehD
  • 11Abdulla AbdelazizM
  • 40Abdullah Al TamimiG
  • 23Ahmed Al ZeyoudiD
  • 14F. Ben NjimaD
  • 31Y. JabriM
  • 4S. SulimanD
Coach: G. Tufegdžić
Sharjah FC 4-1-4-1
  • 40Adel Al HosaniG
  • 19Khaled EbraheimD
  • 5M. KatinićD
  • 31C. Nsiala-MakengoD
  • 66LeandrinhoD
  • 6C. PickelM
  • 57LorranM
  • 10Igor CoronadoM
  • 8AgnerM
  • 16Yahya Al GhassaniM
  • 9K. LabaF
Substitutes
  • 15Fahad JasimD
  • 33V. PrijovićD
  • 14Saif Al-KaabiM
  • 17Mayed MuhsinG
  • 98C. DoumbiaF
  • 99Sultan Al SaadiF
  • 2João Pedro ChermontD
  • 30O. CamaraM
  • 34Harib Abdalla SuhailM
Coach: José Morais

Form going into Ajman vs Sharjah FC

Ajman

Pro League

  • L2-3Al-Ittihad Kalba11 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Al Nasr6 September 2026
  • L0-3away to Al-Jazira29 August 2026

Sharjah FC

Pro League

  • L0-1away to Al Wahda FC11 September 2026
  • W4-3Dubai United5 September 2026
  • W3-0away to Hatta SC30 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

United Arab Emirates Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Ajman73131316-310
2Sharjah FC7502158+715

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ajman vs Sharjah FC

  • 19 September 2026Ajman 3–2 Sharjah FCLeague Cup
  • 20 February 2026Ajman 3–2 Sharjah FCPro League
  • 21 September 2025Sharjah FC 0–1 AjmanPro League
  • 22 April 2025Sharjah FC 4–0 AjmanPro League
  • 8 December 2024Ajman 0–1 Sharjah FCPro League
  • 24 May 2024Ajman 2–2 Sharjah FCPro League

Leading scorers: Ajman and Sharjah FC

Ajman

GoalsAssists

  • Victor Henrique31

Sharjah FC

GoalsAssists

  • Igor Coronado32
  • Julimar30
  • Harib Abdalla Suhail21

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Sharjah FC won 3–1 at Ajman. The model had leaned towards a win for Ajman at 41% and given a win for Sharjah FC 35%. The goals: Victor Henrique Cardoso Santos 11' for Ajman, Ousmane Camara 62' for Sharjah FC, Yuri Matias (own goal) 83' for Sharjah FC, Harib Abdalla Suhail 88' for Sharjah FC. On expected goals it finished 1.17–0.90.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Ajman a 11.9% chance to finish in the top four: 17.7% after a win, 9.1% after a draw, 4.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 4.8%, 7.1 points lower than before the match.

For Sharjah FC the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 9.8% going in: 16.7% after a win, 7.5% after a draw, 4.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 16.7%, 6.9 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Ajman v Sharjah FC has moved

First published on 4 Oct at 38% / 27% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 41% / 24% / 35%: the biggest move is Ajman's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Ajman win41%▲ +3
  2. Draw24%▼ −3
  3. Sharjah FC win35%=

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.