18 October 2026, 10:00 UTC

Kryvbas KR vs LNZ Cherkasy Premier League prediction & result

Hirnyk Stadium, Kryvyi Rih
Referee: Oleksandr Afanasev
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Kryvbas KR 0-3 LNZ Cherkasy.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Kryvbas KR, 28% draw, 33% LNZ Cherkasy — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Kryvbas KR at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kryvbas KR0%Draw1%LNZ Cherkasy99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

7'
⚽Tedi Caraassist: Vitaliy Roman
🔁Denys Pidgurskyiout: Giovany Herbert
45'
🔁Bar Linout: Yackson Stiven Rivas
45'
58'
🔁Denys Kuzykout: Korede Yemi Adedoyin
Yaroslav Shevchenko
65'
🔁Oleksandr Kamenskyiout: Assan Seck
66'
70'
🔁Tedi Caraout: Gennadiy Pasich
70'
🔁Talles Brener De Paulaout: Yegor Tverdokhlib
70'
⚽Papa Ndiaga Yadeassist: Korede Yemi Adedoyin
🔁Shakeone Satchwellout: Volodymyr Mulyk
77'
85'
⚽Korede Yemi Adedoyinassist: Oleksandr Drambayev
87'
🔁Papa Ndiaga Yadeout: Myroslav Donyk
87'
🔁Yakubu adamout: Maksym Tlumak

Match stats — Kryvbas KR vs LNZ Cherkasy

48%Possession52%
8Shots9
1On target5
3Corners13

Line-ups

Kryvbas KR 4-1-4-1
  • 12O. KemkinG
  • 22João MachadoD
  • 4V. VilivaldD
  • 3Jimmy MpanzuD
  • 16Thiago Isabel Nascimento BorgesD
  • 6D. PidgurskyiM
  • 18B. LinM
  • 8Y. ShevchenkoM
  • 17R. NawiM
  • 21Oleksandr KamenskyiM
  • 9S. SatchwellF
Substitutes
  • 28S. CuizaD
  • 41Abdulmajeed DanladiG
  • 10A. HerbertM
  • 27D. GodyaM
  • 15J. JonesD
  • 1B. KhomaG
  • 5V. KulbachukD
  • 24V. MulykF
  • 7Y. RivasF
Coach: P. van Leeuwen
LNZ Cherkasy 5-3-2
  • 1D. LedviiG
  • 93V. RomanD
  • 25O. GorinD
  • 92B. SlyubykD
  • 14O. DrambaevD
  • 17D. KuzykD
  • 8A. YakubuM
  • 29R. DidykM
  • 30TallesM
  • 37P. YadeF
  • 77T. CaraF
Substitutes
  • 4A. DajkoD
  • 99K. AdedoyinF
  • 49M. DonykM
  • 75A. KitelaD
  • 90M. AssinorF
  • 12O. PalamarchukG
  • 11H. PasichM
  • 72K. SamoylenkoG
  • 20Maksym TlumakM
Coach: Vitaliy Ponomaryov

Form going into Kryvbas KR vs LNZ Cherkasy

Kryvbas KR

Premier League

  • L0-1away to Polessya18 September 2026

LNZ Cherkasy

Premier League

  • W2-1Kudrivka11 October 2026
  • L0-3away to Shakhtar Donetsk20 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ukraine Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Kryvbas KR10145816-87
6LNZ Cherkasy115331210+218

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Kryvbas KR vs LNZ Cherkasy

  • 5 April 2026Kryvbas KR 0–3 LNZ CherkasyPremier League
  • 28 September 2025LNZ Cherkasy 0–0 Kryvbas KRPremier League
  • 26 April 2025LNZ Cherkasy 0–0 Kryvbas KRPremier League
  • 26 October 2024Kryvbas KR 3–1 LNZ CherkasyPremier League
  • 23 February 2024LNZ Cherkasy 0–3 Kryvbas KRPremier League
  • 13 August 2023Kryvbas KR 2–0 LNZ CherkasyPremier League

Leading scorers: Kryvbas KR and LNZ Cherkasy

Kryvbas KR

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

LNZ Cherkasy

GoalsAssists

  • P. Yade40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

LNZ Cherkasy won 3–0 at Kryvbas KR. The model had leaned towards a win for Kryvbas KR at 39% and given a win for LNZ Cherkasy 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Tedi Cara 7' for LNZ Cherkasy, Papa Ndiaga Yade 70' for LNZ Cherkasy, Korede Yemi Adedoyin 85' for LNZ Cherkasy.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Kryvbas KR a 10.7% chance to finish in the bottom three: 7.5% after a win, 11.2% after a draw, 13.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 13.8%, 3.1 points higher than before the match.

For LNZ Cherkasy the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 7.7% going in: 9.8% after a win, 8.0% after a draw, 5.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 9.8%, 2.1 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.