18 October 2026, 13:05 UTC

Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC Pro League prediction & result

Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium, Khor Fakkan
Full time2 – 3

Final score: Khorfakkan 2-3 Al Wahda FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 30% Khorfakkan, 28% draw, 42% Al Wahda FC — fair odds of 3.33, 3.57 and 2.38.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Al Wahda FC at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Khorfakkan0%Draw4%Al Wahda FC96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
•Facundo Kruspzky
⚽Ramiro Vacaassist: Rilwanu Haliru Sarki
13'
24'
⚽Mansour Saleh Burghashassist: Brahima Diarra
⚽Tarik Tissoudaliassist: Ahmed Abdalla Mohamad
32'
39'
⚽Christian Benteke (pen)
45+2'
⚽Christian Bentekeassist: Abdulla Hamad
60'
Lucas Pimenta
🔁Ahmadou Camaraout: Abdalla Ali Hassan Mohamed Rashid Al Naqbi
65'
🔁Rilwanu Haliru Sarkiout: Pedro Pavlov
65'
72'
🔁Moussa Diarraout: Amanallah Mjahed
🔁Aylton Boa Morteout: Yousef Al Ameri
72'
🔁Rafael Pereiraout: Akram Nakach
72'
80'
Jadson
81'
🔁Adam Gnezda Čerinout: Mobin Dehghan
84'
🔁Facundo Kruspzkyout: Caio Canedo
84'
🔁Brahima Diarraout: Omar Kharbin
84'
🔁Christian Bentekeout: Asher Agbinone
•Abdalla Ali Hassan Mohamed Rashid Al Naqbi
87'

Match stats — Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC

44%Possession56%
9Shots19
3On target6
1Corners5
1.13xG2.28

Goals against chances

Khorfakkan2 from 1.13 xGmore than the chances were worth
Al Wahda FC3 from 2.28 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Khorfakkan 4-1-4-1
  • 1Ahmed Al HosaniG
  • 11A. JashakD
  • 3Kayque SoaresD
  • 19L. HaquínD
  • 4Rafael PereiraD
  • 5A. CamaraM
  • 77R. SarkiM
  • 10Aylton Boa MorteM
  • 80R. VacaM
  • 79J. N'GuessanM
  • 9T. TissoudaliF
Substitutes
  • 24Ahmed MahmoudM
  • 2Yousef Al AmeriD
  • 25K. Al Hanae
  • 6A. NakachD
  • 8Abdalla Al NaqbiM
  • 50Rashid AliG
  • 17Sultan AlzaabiD
  • 12I. LagrimiD
  • 16P. PavlovD
Coach: Abdelmajeed Alzarooni
Al Wahda FC 4-1-4-1
  • 23F. LirussiG
  • 2Mansour Saleh Barghash Jaralla Al MenhaliD
  • 6M. GhorbaniD
  • 3Lucas PimentaD
  • 44M. DiarraD
  • 25Jadsom SilvaM
  • 11F. KruspzkyM
  • 12Abdulla HamadM
  • 8A. ČerinM
  • 94B. DiarraM
  • 20C. BentekeF
Substitutes
  • 80Abdulqader AbdullahM
  • 19A. AgbinoneM
  • 40Abdullrahman Al AmeriG
  • 7Caio CanedoF
  • 15M. DehghanM
  • 35A. MajhedD
  • 70Omar KhribinF
  • 97Sam Mark KoffieF
  • 32Gonçalo Moura OliveiraD
Coach: Péricles Chamusca

Form going into Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC

Khorfakkan

Pro League

  • D0-0Baniyas SC11 September 2026
  • L2-5away to Al-Wasl FC4 September 2026
  • W2-0Al-Dhafra29 August 2026

Al Wahda FC

Pro League

  • W1-0Sharjah FC11 September 2026
  • W1-0away to Al-Dhafra6 September 2026
  • W2-1Baniyas SC30 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

United Arab Emirates Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Khorfakkan7214916-77
5Al Wahda FC741297+213

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC

  • 11 May 2026Khorfakkan 1–1 Al Wahda FCPro League
  • 28 December 2025Al Wahda FC 1–0 KhorfakkanPro League
  • 30 November 2025Khorfakkan 1–2 Al Wahda FCLeague Cup
  • 15 November 2025Al Wahda FC 2–2 KhorfakkanLeague Cup
  • 8 February 2025Al Wahda FC 3–1 KhorfakkanPro League
  • 30 August 2024Khorfakkan 0–1 Al Wahda FCPro League

The result against the call

Al Wahda FC won 3–2 at Khorfakkan. The model had made a win for Al Wahda FC its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Ramiro Vaca 13' for Khorfakkan, Mansour Saleh Burghash 24' for Al Wahda FC, Tarik Tissoudali 32' for Khorfakkan, Christian Benteke (penalty) 39' for Al Wahda FC, Christian Benteke 45+2' for Al Wahda FC. On expected goals it finished 1.13–2.28.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Khorfakkan a 32.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 19.1% after a win, 32.4% after a draw, 40.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 40.2%, 8.1 points higher than before the match.

For Al Wahda FC the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 13.0% going in: 19.5% after a win, 8.6% after a draw, 5.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 19.5%, 6.5 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.