GO Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag Eredivisie prediction & result
Final score: GO Ahead Eagles 3-1 ADO Den Haag.
Before kick-off the model made it 70% GO Ahead Eagles, 16% draw, 14% ADO Den Haag — fair odds of 1.43, 6.25 and 7.14. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts GO Ahead Eagles at 70% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — GO Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Kjetil HaugG
- 2Alfons SampstedD
- 26Julius DirksenD
- 4Joris KramerD
- 5Dean JamesD
- 8Evert LinthorstM
- 21Melle MeulensteenM
- 10Søren TengstedtM
- 16Victor EdvardsenM
- 17Mathis SurayM
- 29Erik FlatakerF
- 11Oskar Siira SivertsenF
- 25Giovanni van ZwamD
- 34Yassir RahmouniM
- 9Stefán Ingi SigurðarsonF
- 23Thibo BaetenF
- 33Nando VerdoniG
- 22Nick MarsmanG
- 31Dani TijmanF
- 20Eus WaayersD
- 1Kilian NikièmaG
- 2Othniël RaterinkD
- 3Pascal MulderD
- 15Milan HokkeD
- 18Sekou SyllaD
- 7Daryl van MieghemM
- 8Jan ŽambůrekM
- 25Juho KiloM
- 27Nigel ThomasM
- 11Evan RottierF
- 46Yannick EduardoF
- 10Illaijh de RuijterD
- 16Finn de BruinM
- 4Matteo WaemD
- 9Jesse BalF
- 17Jalen HawkinsM
- 20Caleb KramerG
- 23Niclas ThiedeG
- 35Sanyika BergtopD
- 22Lasse WilhelmD
Form going into GO Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag
GO Ahead Eagles
- D2-2away to Feyenoord16 August 2026
ADO Den Haag
- L1-4Groningen16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 9 |
| 18 | ADO Den Haag | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: GO Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag
- 23 August 2026GO Ahead Eagles 3–1 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
- 9 February 2023ADO Den Haag 1–0 GO Ahead EaglesKNVB Beker
- 11 February 2017GO Ahead Eagles 3–1 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
- 6 August 2016ADO Den Haag 3–0 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- 25 January 2015GO Ahead Eagles 1–0 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
- 20 September 2014ADO Den Haag 1–1 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
Leading scorers: GO Ahead Eagles and ADO Den Haag
GO Ahead Eagles
- S. Tengstedt5 goals2 assists
- V. Edvardsen3 goals2 assists
ADO Den Haag
No player in Eredivisie's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.