Spartak Moscow vs Zenit Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Spartak Moscow 2-0 Zenit.
Before kick-off the model made it 26% Spartak Moscow, 30% draw, 44% Zenit — fair odds of 3.85, 3.33 and 2.27. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Zenit at 44% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Spartak Moscow vs Zenit
Spartak Moscow
- W2-1away to Baltika16 August 2026
- L1-2FC Krasnodar9 August 2026
Zenit
- W3-0Dynamo16 August 2026
- L1-2Rodina Moskva9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 19 |
| 3 | Zenit | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Spartak Moscow vs Zenit
- 18 July 2026Zenit 1–1 Spartak MoscowSuper Cup
- 8 April 2026Zenit 0–0 Spartak MoscowCup
- 14 March 2026Zenit 2–0 Spartak MoscowPremier League
- 16 August 2025Spartak Moscow 2–2 ZenitPremier League
- 16 March 2025Spartak Moscow 2–1 ZenitPremier League
- 11 February 2025Spartak Moscow 0–3 ZenitFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Spartak Moscow and Zenit
Spartak Moscow
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Zenit
- A. Sobolev6 goals1 assists
- M. Glushenkov5 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.