Al-Duhail SC vs Al Shahaniya Stars League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Duhail SC 1-1 Al Shahaniya.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Al-Duhail SC, 26% draw, 23% Al Shahaniya — fair odds of 1.96, 3.85 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Al-Duhail SC at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Duhail SC vs Al Shahaniya
Line-ups
- 1Salah ZakariaG
- 22I. BambaD
- 3Lucas TutaD
- 21J. CastellettoD
- 30A. DoumbouyaD
- 23Assim MadiboM
- 6M. VerrattiM
- 8Mubarak Shanan HamzaM
- 24B. SoumaréM
- 19Almoez AliM
- 7S. YansanéF
- 94Awad Ashraf Awad OsmanG
- 26Fahad BakerG
- 97A. BelmadiF
- 36Adam Riyad FraikhM
- 87Malik Majed HassanM
- 11Tahsin JamshidF
- 76Y. A. El AjamiF
- 44Omar Gamal GadF
- 74Hamada Mosabah GhazyD
- 99Shehab EllethyG
- 2A. MohamedD
- 31Z. ŠarlijaD
- 5MuniesaD
- 19Abdulla Al SulaitiD
- 21Mohamed SuragM
- 27I. DialloM
- 6Álvaro SanzM
- 11Jawad El JemiliM
- 9A. TraoréF
- 10F. AntonucciF
- 4Mohamed SayyarM
- 88Moameen MutasemM
- 32Khalid MuftahD
- 16Mohamed AbdallahG
- 77Yousef Hani BallanD
- 7A. MussedF
- 23Mohamed SaeedG
- 18A. Al SulimaneM
- 3Bahaa EllithiD
Form going into Al-Duhail SC vs Al Shahaniya
Al-Duhail SC
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Al-Rayyan SC5 September 2026
- D1-1Al-Arabi SC29 August 2026
Al Shahaniya
All competitions we cover
- L2-4away to Al Shamal4 September 2026
- W3-2Al-Sailiya29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Stars League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al-Duhail SC | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 21 |
| 9 | Al Shahaniya | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al-Duhail SC and Al Shahaniya
Al-Duhail SC
GoalsAssists
- K. Piątek33
- Almoez Ali30
- B. Soumaré30
Al Shahaniya
GoalsAssists
- A. Traoré40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Duhail SC and Al Shahaniya drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Al-Duhail SC at 51% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Jawad El Jemili 62' for Al Shahaniya, Boubakary Soumaré 90+6' for Al-Duhail SC.
How the call on Al-Duhail SC v Al Shahaniya has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 43% / 30% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 51% / 26% / 23%: the biggest move is Al-Duhail SC's chance of winning, up 8 points.
- Al-Duhail SC win51%▲ +8
- Draw26%▼ −4
- Al Shahaniya win23%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.