Al-Jazira vs Al Nasr Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Jazira 1-1 Al Nasr.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Al-Jazira, 28% draw, 23% Al Nasr — fair odds of 2.04, 3.57 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All UAE Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Al-Jazira at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Jazira vs Al Nasr
Line-ups
- 1E. DestanoğluG
- 2IgorD
- 4Willyan RochaD
- 28R. TagirD
- 16Marcus MeloniD
- 80BrunoM
- 8M. CoulibalyM
- 23K. AsllaniM
- 77MilsonM
- 10MalcomF
- 94TaliscaF
- 15M. RabiiD
- 39N. MujkićD
- 5Khalifa Al HammadiD
- 25J. GeusensM
- 99Vinicius MelloF
- 6Mohammed Al AttasD
- 74S. MalkoçoğluM
- 57Zayed FadaaqG
- 30A. DennisM
- 12Ahmed ShambihG
- 24Zayed SultanD
- 15Abdoulaye SanogoD
- 4GláuberD
- 55D. PetrovićD
- 17Wesley DelgadoM
- 8M. MarinM
- 57I. FaizM
- 10M. GhaediM
- 70A. HrustićF
- 9C. BediaF
- 7K. AgudeloM
- 21Abdulla IdreesD
- 2Salem SultanD
- 5Mohammad AbdulbasitM
- 77N. ChadliF
- 37S. SalemG
- 30João MoreiraD
- 38Moussa NdiayeM
- 6Hussain MahdiM
Form going into Al-Jazira vs Al Nasr
Al-Jazira
Pro League
- W3-1away to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai5 September 2026
- W3-0Ajman29 August 2026
Al Nasr
Pro League
- L1-2Ajman6 September 2026
- L1-2away to Al Ain29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
United Arab Emirates Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Jazira | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 17 |
| 7 | Al Nasr | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al-Jazira and Al Nasr
Al-Jazira
GoalsAssists
- Malcom31
- Bruno21
- Vinicius Mello20
Al Nasr
GoalsAssists
- R. Mierez21
- K. Agudelo20
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Jazira and Al Nasr drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Al-Jazira at 49% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Bruno De Oliveira 10' for Al-Jazira, Mehdi Ghayedi 61' for Al Nasr.
How the call on Al-Jazira v Al Nasr has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 41% / 30% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 49% / 28% / 23%: the biggest move is Al-Jazira's chance of winning, up 8 points.
- Al-Jazira win49%▲ +8
- Draw28%▼ −2
- Al Nasr win23%▼ −6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.