Al Wahda FC vs Al Ain Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al Wahda FC 0-0 Al Ain.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Al Wahda FC, 27% draw, 48% Al Ain — fair odds of 4.00, 3.70 and 2.08.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Al Ain at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al Wahda FC vs Al Ain
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 23F. LirussiG
- 15M. DehghanD
- 5A. ZouhirD
- 6M. GhorbaniD
- 44M. DiarraD
- 25Jadsom SilvaM
- 11F. KruspzkyM
- 12Abdulla HamadM
- 8A. ČerinM
- 97Sam Mark KoffieM
- 20C. BentekeF
- 66G. SuárezM
- 7Caio CanedoF
- 94B. DiarraM
- 70Omar KhribinF
- 32Gonçalo Moura OliveiraD
- 30F. OgbuD
- 92Zayid Sultan Salim Rashid Al FalahiD
- 22Renné RivasD
- 2Mansour Saleh Barghash Jaralla Al MenhaliD
- 17Khalid EisaG
- 19V. LazaroD
- 56A. NiangD
- 25Rami RabiaD
- 4Y. Ben KhaleqD
- 2Rafael RodriguesD
- 10A. RomeroM
- 5T. GijselhartM
- 20M. PalaciosM
- 18B. IlouF
- 7G. GiakoumakisF
- 15ErikD
- 30Hazem MohammadM
- 8Mohammed Al BaloushiM
- 97A. JašićM
- 38I. NdiayeM
- 35H. MuhammedG
- 57Mame Boubou NiangD
- 3Marcos MaiaD
- 13H. RahimiF
Form going into Al Wahda FC vs Al Ain
Al Wahda FC
Pro League
- W3-2away to Khorfakkan18 October 2026
- W1-0Sharjah FC11 September 2026
- W1-0away to Al-Dhafra6 September 2026
- W2-1Baniyas SC30 August 2026
Al Ain
Pro League
- L0-2away to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai17 October 2026
- D2-2Al-Wasl FC10 September 2026
- W2-0away to Al-Ittihad Kalba4 September 2026
- W2-1Al Nasr29 August 2026
What these results say
- Al Wahda FC won every one of these 4 matches.
- Al Wahda FC scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Al Ain scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Al Ain conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
United Arab Emirates Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al Wahda FC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 13 |
| 3 | Al Ain | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Al Wahda FC vs Al Ain
- 1 May 2026Al Ain 0–0 Al Wahda FCLeague Cup
- 17 March 2026Al Wahda FC 0–1 Al AinPro League
- 17 January 2026Al Ain 2–2 Al Wahda FCPro League
- 27 February 2025Al Wahda FC 2–1 Al AinPro League
- 6 October 2024Al Ain 1–2 Al Wahda FCPro League
- 20 May 2024Al Wahda FC 0–2 Al AinPro League
The result against the call
Al Wahda FC and Al Ain drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Al Ain at 48% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 1.03–0.95.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Al Wahda FC a 6.9% chance to finish in the top two: 12.2% after a win, 6.2% after a draw, 3.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 6.2%, 0.7 points lower than before the match.
For Al Ain the question was the chance to finish in the top two, 56.6% going in: 66.9% after a win, 51.6% after a draw, 41.7% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 51.6%, 5 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.