Al-Jazira vs Al-Wasl FC Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Jazira 2-1 Al-Wasl FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Al-Jazira, 27% draw, 35% Al-Wasl FC — fair odds of 2.63, 3.70 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Al-Jazira at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Jazira vs Al-Wasl FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1E. DestanoğluG
- 2IgorD
- 4Willyan RochaD
- 5Khalifa Al HammadiD
- 17Rúben Alexandre Ramos AmaralD
- 80BrunoM
- 8M. CoulibalyM
- 16Marcus MeloniM
- 77MilsonM
- 10MalcomF
- 99Vinicius MelloF
- 55Ali KhaseifG
- 81Ali Mohamed Saeed Mohamed Abdulla AlmemariF
- 23K. AsllaniM
- 7Abdalla RamadanM
- 30A. DennisM
- 25J. GeusensM
- 39N. MujkićD
- 78M. NdiayeF
- 15M. RabiiD
- 23D. HorkašG
- 79Pedro MalheiroD
- 4S. BouftiniD
- 34AdryelsonD
- 16HugoD
- 5A. PopoolaM
- 31N. GiménezM
- 7Ali SalehM
- 21Cameron PuertasM
- 19SerginhoM
- 9M. TaremiF
- 10Fábio LimaF
- 77Leandro SpadacioF
- 20SaldanhaF
- 30B. PalaciosF
- 14RodrigoD
- 32Mohamed AliG
- 18Malek JaneerM
- 15S. IvkovićD
- 8Yahia NaderM
Form going into Al-Jazira vs Al-Wasl FC
Al-Jazira
Pro League
- D2-2away to Al-Ittihad Kalba18 October 2026
- D1-1Al Nasr10 September 2026
- W3-1away to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai5 September 2026
- W3-0Ajman29 August 2026
Al-Wasl FC
Pro League
- W2-0away to Baniyas SC16 October 2026
- D2-2away to Al Ain10 September 2026
- W5-2Khorfakkan4 September 2026
- L0-1Shabab Al Ahli Dubai28 August 2026
What these results say
- Al-Jazira went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Al-Jazira scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Al-Jazira conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Al-Wasl FC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Al-Wasl FC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
United Arab Emirates Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Jazira | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 17 |
| 6 | Al-Wasl FC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Al-Jazira vs Al-Wasl FC
- 11 May 2026Al-Jazira 1–2 Al-Wasl FCPro League
- 17 January 2026Al-Wasl FC 1–0 Al-JaziraPro League
- 30 November 2025Al-Wasl FC 1–2 Al-JaziraLeague Cup
- 16 November 2025Al-Jazira 0–0 Al-Wasl FCLeague Cup
- 7 April 2025Al-Jazira 0–5 Al-Wasl FCPro League
- 22 March 2025Al-Jazira 3–1 Al-Wasl FCLeague Cup
Leading scorers: Al-Jazira and Al-Wasl FC
Al-Jazira
GoalsAssists
- Malcom31
- Bruno21
- Vinicius Mello20
Al-Wasl FC
GoalsAssists
- N. Giménez41
- Renato Júnior30
- Serginho23
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Jazira beat Al-Wasl FC 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Al-Jazira at 38%. The goals: Vinicius Mello 18' for Al-Jazira, Nicolás Giménez 50' for Al-Wasl FC, Malcom 73' for Al-Jazira. Sent off: Nicolás Giménez (Al-Wasl FC) 56', Marcus Vinicius Barbosa Meloni (Al-Jazira) 68'. On expected goals it finished 1.45–1.34.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Al-Jazira a 40.8% chance to finish in the top two: 53.2% after a win, 39.5% after a draw, 27.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 53.2%, 12.4 points higher than before the match.
For Al-Wasl FC the question was the chance to finish in the top two, 45.6% going in: 59.3% after a win, 44.0% after a draw, 33.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 33.3%, 12.3 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.