3 September 2026, 18:30 UTC

Anderlecht vs Kortrijk Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Lotto Park, Anderlecht
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Anderlecht 1-0 Kortrijk.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Anderlecht, 28% draw, 29% Kortrijk — fair odds of 2.33, 3.57 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Anderlecht at 43% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Anderlecht97%Draw3%Kortrijk0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Danylo Sikanassist: Ali Maamar
43'
45'
🔁Shandre Campbellout: Suf·Podgoreanu
Marco Kana
56'
56'
🔁Ken Masuiout: Rok Storman
56'
🔁Jellert Van Landschootout: Goduine Koyalipou
🔁Joshua-Williame Nga Kanaout: Oliver Antman
59'
🔁Lukas Ambrosout: Noa Ojea
59'
Enric Llansana
61'
🔁Mihajlo Cvetkovicout: Tawfik Bentayeb
74'
77'
🔁Brecht Dejaegereout: Jamie Roche
77'
🔁Nayel Mehssatouout: Anthony Philips
86'
Gilles Ruyssen
86'
Rudy Kohon
🔁Marco Kanaout: Noah Kalonji
89'

Match stats — Anderlecht vs Kortrijk

58%Possession42%
14Shots6
5On target1
7Corners2

Line-ups

Anderlecht 4-4-2
  • 26C. CoosemansG
  • 79A. MaamarD
  • 4G. BianconeD
  • 27L. PétrotD
  • 6L. AugustinssonD
  • 18L. AmbrosM
  • 24E. LlansanaM
  • 55M. KanaM
  • 61J. BethumeM
  • 9M. CvetkovićF
  • 14D. SikanF
Substitutes
  • 11O. AntmanF
  • 10M. WinklerF
  • 49Jayden Onia SekeF
  • 50K. BarryD
  • 2Zoumana KeitaD
  • 32J. HeekerenG
  • 33M. SeghersG
  • 53N. CobiellaM
  • 21T. BentayebF
Coach: Vítor Bruno
Kortrijk 4-4-1-1
  • 31M. IlićG
  • 36R. KohonD
  • 4Harrison Murray-CampbellD
  • 22G. RuyssenD
  • 5J. NdjeungoueD
  • 11S. CampbellM
  • 19B. DejaegereM
  • 8N. MehssatouM
  • 68T. AmbroseM
  • 71K. MasuiM
  • 18J. Van LandschootF
Substitutes
  • 17R. ŠtormanM
  • 24J. RocheM
  • 7S. PodgoreanuF
  • 90N. OgbuehiF
  • 35B. LambertM
  • 10G. KoyalipouF
  • 1P. GunnarssonG
  • 14Lenn De SmetF
  • 70A. PhillipsM
Coach: Michiel Jonckheere

Form going into Anderlecht vs Kortrijk

Anderlecht

  • L0-3away to Union St. Gilloise30 August 2026
  • L0-1away to SK Beveren16 August 2026

Kortrijk

  • L1-3Charleroi29 August 2026
  • L0-3Antwerp15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Anderlecht631245-110
18Kortrijk6006115-140

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Anderlecht vs Kortrijk

  • 3 September 2026Anderlecht 1–0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
  • 19 January 2025Kortrijk 0–2 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
  • 3 November 2024Anderlecht 4–0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
  • 16 March 2024Anderlecht 0–1 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
  • 17 September 2023Kortrijk 2–2 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
  • 19 February 2023Kortrijk 2–2 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.