3 September 2026, 18:30 UTC

Gent vs OH Leuven Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Planet Group Arena, Gent
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Gent 1-0 OH Leuven.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Gent, 28% draw, 26% OH Leuven — fair odds of 2.17, 3.57 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Gent at 46% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Gent97%Draw3%OH Leuven0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Tiago Araújo
46'
57'
🔁Davis Opokuout: Abdoul Karim Traoré
58'
Wouter George
🔁Mathias Delorgeout: Tibe De Vlieger
64'
🔁László Bénesout: Michel Ange Balikwisha
64'
🔁Kyrell Wilsonout: Matties Volckaert
64'
Siebe Van Der Heyden
65'
67'
🔁Lukasz Lakomyout: Kyan Vaesen
67'
🔁Shin Yamadaout: Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
🔁Momodou Sonkoout: El Hadji Seck
74'
76'
Oscar Gil Regaño
76'
🔁Wouter Georgeout: Takuya Ogiwara
77'
🔁Noë Dussenneout: Bryang Kayo
🔁Josue Vergaraout: Aime Ntsama Omgba
88'

Match stats — Gent vs OH Leuven

43%Possession57%
15Shots8
1On target1
10Corners1

Line-ups

Gent 3-4-2-1
  • 33D. RoefG
  • 5M. NgomD
  • 16C. BurgessD
  • 44S. Van der HeydenD
  • 14Kyrell WilsonM
  • 17M. Delorge-KnieperM
  • 22Leonardo LopesM
  • 20Tiago AraújoM
  • 8L. BénesM
  • 11M. SonkoM
  • 47J. Y. Vergara OrtegaF
Substitutes
  • 57M. VolckaertD
  • 27T. De VliegerM
  • 39A. AyindéD
  • 37A. KadriM
  • 7M. BalikwishaF
  • 10A. OmgbaM
  • 3M. PaskotšiD
  • 30K. PeersmanG
  • 59E. SeckF
Coach: R. Demil
OH Leuven 3-4-3
  • 16D. van den HeuvelG
  • 5J. LawrenceD
  • 3N. DussenneD
  • 28E. PletinckxD
  • 27Óscar GilM
  • 6W. GeorgeM
  • 4B. VerstraeteM
  • 99D. OpokuM
  • 21W. BalikwishaF
  • 20S. YamadaF
  • 24Ł. ŁakomyF
Substitutes
  • 80Matteo HeremansM
  • 19C. IkwuemesiF
  • 61O. JochmansG
  • 48B. KayoM
  • 72S. MurruM
  • 26T. OgiwaraD
  • 9A. TraoréF
  • 17K. VaesenF
  • 34R. NyakossiD
Coach: T. Simons

Form going into Gent vs OH Leuven

Gent

  • W2-1Club Brugge KV30 August 2026
  • W2-1away to RAAL La Louvière16 August 2026

OH Leuven

  • L1-2Standard Liege29 August 2026
  • L0-3Club Brugge KV15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Gent6510113+816
17OH Leuven6015313-101

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Gent vs OH Leuven

  • 3 September 2026Gent 1–0 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
  • 7 February 2026Gent 1–3 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
  • 2 November 2025OH Leuven 4–0 GentJupiler Pro League
  • 26 January 2025OH Leuven 0–0 GentJupiler Pro League
  • 29 September 2024Gent 3–0 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
  • 12 May 2024Gent 0–1 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.