Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo La Liga prediction & result
Final score: Real Sociedad 0-0 Celta Vigo.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Real Sociedad, 27% draw, 26% Celta Vigo — fair odds of 2.13, 3.70 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Real Sociedad at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo
Line-ups
- 1Álex RemiroG
- 2J. AramburuD
- 5ZubeldiaD
- 6Jon MartínD
- 17Sergio GómezD
- 21Y. HerreraM
- 8Beñat TurrientesM
- 14T. KuboM
- 10Mikel OyarzabalM
- 7BarrenetxeaM
- 9O. ÓskarssonF
- 19M. SarrD
- 18Carlos SolerM
- 12J. OchiengF
- 24L. SučićM
- 23A. ZakharyanM
- 3Aihen MuñozD
- 34Luken BeitiaD
- 22Héctor FortD
- 4Jon GorrotxategiM
- 13I. RaduG
- 15Álvaro NúñezD
- 18Yoel LagoD
- 3Marcos AlonsoD
- 17Javi RuedaM
- 8Miguel RománM
- 6I. MoribaM
- 5Sergio CarreiraM
- 28Andrés AntañónF
- 9Ferran JutglàF
- 19W. SwedbergF
- 2C. StarfeltD
- 1A. BayındırG
- 4A. FayeD
- 20Javi RodríguezD
- 22Javi GalánD
- 16Hugo GonzálezM
- 30H. BurcioM
- 23Hugo ÁlvarezM
- 24C. DriouechF
Form going into Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Espanyol29 August 2026
- L1-4away to Real Madrid26 August 2026
- L0-1away to Real Betis21 August 2026
Celta Vigo
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Athletic Club30 August 2026
- L1-2Osasuna27 August 2026
- D0-0away to Valencia22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 20 | +1 | 22 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo
- 25 January 2026Real Sociedad 3–1 Celta VigoLa Liga
- 19 October 2025Celta Vigo 1–1 Real SociedadLa Liga
- 13 May 2025Real Sociedad 0–1 Celta VigoLa Liga
- 21 December 2024Celta Vigo 2–0 Real SociedadLa Liga
- 23 January 2024Celta Vigo 1–2 Real SociedadCopa del Rey
Leading scorers: Real Sociedad and Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad
GoalsAssists
- L. Sučić40
- O. Óskarsson40
Celta Vigo
No player in La Liga's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Real Sociedad and Celta Vigo drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Real Sociedad at 47% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.