18 September 2026, 18:00 UTC

Annecy vs Dijon Ligue 2 prediction & result

Parc des Sports, Annecy
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Annecy 1-2 Dijon.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Annecy, 28% draw, 31% Dijon — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Annecy at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Annecy0%Draw5%Dijon95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Clement Billemaz
41'
Ahmed Kashi
45+1'
M. Koné
54'
59'
🔁Mickaël Barretoout: Adel Lembezat
59'
🔁Ben-Chayeel Hamadaout: W. Diouf
60'
W. Diouf
🔁Clement Billemazout: Antoine Larose
61'
🔁Paul Venotout: Alexis Casadei
61'
🔁Kadan Youngout: Moïse Sahi
70'
🔁Thibault Rambaudout: Kilyan Veniere
70'
71'
🔁Tyris Dongout: Júlio Tavares
77'
⚽Júlio Tavaresassist: Adel Lembezat
82'
⚽Júlio Tavares
83'
🔁Brandon Nsimba Ndeziout: H. Vargas Ríos
83'
🔁Ange Lagoout: Alexis Ntamack
🔁M. Konéout: Pascal Mozie
83'

Match stats — Annecy vs Dijon

39%Possession61%
12Shots11
2On target3
5Corners1

Line-ups

Annecy 4-3-3
  • 1F. EscalesG
  • 41T. DelphisD
  • 23M. VeillonD
  • 26A. Do MarcolinoD
  • 27J. KouadioD
  • 22C. BillemazM
  • 5A. KashiM
  • 25P. VenotM
  • 12K. YoungF
  • 9T. RambaudF
  • 14M. KonéF
Substitutes
  • 8A. CasadeiM
  • 16T. CallensG
  • 80M. SahiF
  • 28A. LaroseF
  • 15P. MozieM
  • 32David OduroD
  • 33Gabin SecrétantD
  • 19K. VeniereM
Coach: L. Guyot
Dijon 4-1-3-2
  • 16P. DelecroixG
  • 7B. HamadaD
  • 23L. LacroixD
  • 5Q. BernardD
  • 31M. FatyD
  • 14J. MariéM
  • 21Samy Olivier ChouchaneM
  • 4M. BarretoM
  • 18B. NdeziM
  • 9T. DongF
  • 90A. LagoF
Substitutes
  • 6W. DioufD
  • 75Boubacar DialloD
  • 93I. BouleghchaD
  • 8P. BellonM
  • 17A. LembezatM
  • 46Ilan Marie-RoseG
  • 29A. NtamackF
  • 11Júlio TavaresF
  • 20H. Vargas-RíosM
Coach: B. Ridira

Form going into Annecy vs Dijon

Annecy

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Guingamp12 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Grenoble4 September 2026
  • D1-1Metz29 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Reims24 August 2026
  • W2-0Rodez14 August 2026

Dijon

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2Laval11 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Boulogne4 September 2026
  • L2-3Saint Etienne31 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Clermont Foot21 August 2026
  • L0-1PAU14 August 2026

What these results say

  • Annecy scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Annecy conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Annecy.
  • Dijon conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Dijon failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Dijon scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Annecy125161418-416
6Dijon125342119+218

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Annecy vs Dijon

  • 3 August 2024Dijon 1–1 AnnecyFriendlies Clubs
  • 6 January 2024Annecy 1–5 DijonFriendlies Clubs
  • 29 July 2023Dijon 4–1 AnnecyFriendlies Clubs
  • 6 May 2023Annecy 1–1 DijonLigue 2
  • 30 August 2022Dijon 0–2 AnnecyLigue 2
  • 16 July 2022Annecy 1–1 DijonFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Annecy and Dijon

Annecy

GoalsAssists

  • M. Sahi50

Dijon

GoalsAssists

  • Júlio Tavares51
  • Y. Barka40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Dijon won 2–1 at Annecy. The model had leaned towards a win for Annecy at 41% and given a win for Dijon 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Clement Billemaz 41' for Annecy, Júlio Tavares 77' for Dijon, Júlio Tavares 82' for Dijon.

How the call on Annecy v Dijon has moved

First published on 4 Sep at 38% / 29% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 41% / 28% / 31%: the biggest move is Annecy's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Annecy win41%▲ +3
  2. Draw28%▼ −1
  3. Dijon win31%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.