Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948 First League prediction & result
Final score: Slavia Sofia 1-2 CSKA 1948.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Slavia Sofia, 30% draw, 23% CSKA 1948 — fair odds of 2.13, 3.33 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Slavia Sofia at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948
Line-ups
- 99I. AndonovG
- 20J. Semedo VarelaD
- 5David MalembanaD
- 4N. SavićD
- 87D. FerraressoD
- 71K. StoyanovD
- 95V. MiletićM
- 17Vasil KazaldzhievF
- 73I. MinchevM
- 77E. StoevF
- 10V. NikolovM
- 6B. TodorovM
- 27Umaro BaldéF
- 9Y. BornosuzovF
- 11M. DossoM
- 3M. GeorgievD
- 19E. GogevF
- 24L. MarinD
- 63L. NtumbaG
- 1G. PetkovG
- 31A. BozhevG
- 2D. MedinaD
- 33H. CuellarD
- 3L. DvaliD
- 22O. GaševićF
- 8M. ZemzemiM
- 34P. VitanovM
- 67Frédéric MacielF
- 10B. TsonevM
- 11G. RusevF
- 93M. DialloF
- 77Elias FrancoF
- 96D. GrivićD
- 4A. HoffmannD
- 9A. IlievF
- 70K. IlievD
- 23F. KrebsM
- 1P. MarinovG
- 30J. MeyerM
- 20B. SobreroM
Form going into Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948
Slavia Sofia
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Spartak Varna13 September 2026
- W1-0away to Dunav Ruse7 September 2026
- L1-2Levski Sofia2 September 2026
- D1-1Septemvri Sofia28 August 2026
- D1-1away to Ludogorets22 August 2026
CSKA 1948
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Dunav Ruse12 September 2026
- L0-1away to Levski Sofia5 September 2026
- W2-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv28 August 2026
- L0-1away to Septemvri Sofia23 August 2026
- W4-1Cherno More Varna14 August 2026
What these results say
- Slavia Sofia failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Slavia Sofia scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Slavia Sofia had two goals or fewer.
- CSKA 1948 conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 14 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 16 | +17 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948
- 27 February 2026Slavia Sofia 0–2 CSKA 1948First League
- 13 December 2025Slavia Sofia 2–3 CSKA 1948Cup
- 15 September 2025CSKA 1948 3–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 2 May 2025Slavia Sofia 0–1 CSKA 1948First League
- 17 February 2025Slavia Sofia 1–1 CSKA 1948First League
Leading scorers: Slavia Sofia and CSKA 1948
Slavia Sofia
No player in First League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
CSKA 1948
GoalsAssists
- Frédéric Maciel30
- Elias Franco20
- A. Iliev10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
CSKA 1948 won 2–1 at Slavia Sofia. The model had leaned towards a win for Slavia Sofia at 47% and given a win for CSKA 1948 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Ivan Minchev 41' for Slavia Sofia, Georgi Rusev 50' for CSKA 1948, 85' for CSKA 1948.
How the call on Slavia Sofia v CSKA 1948 has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 39% / 30% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 47% / 30% / 23%: the biggest move is Slavia Sofia's chance of winning, up 8 points.
- Slavia Sofia win47%▲ +8
- Draw30%=
- CSKA 1948 win23%▼ −8
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.