FC St. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: FC St. Gallen 2-3 FC Nordsjaelland.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% FC St. Gallen, 23% draw, 35% FC Nordsjaelland — fair odds of 2.38, 4.35 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC St. Gallen at 42% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into FC St. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland
FC St. Gallen
- L0-1away to FC Nordsjaelland20 August 2026
- W5-1Sheriff Tiraspol13 August 2026
- D2-2FC Luzern9 August 2026
- W3-1away to Sheriff Tiraspol6 August 2026
- W3-2away to FC Vaduz2 August 2026
FC Nordsjaelland
- W3-0away to Sonderjyske23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
FC St. Gallen and FC Nordsjaelland in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC St. Gallen | Super League | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 10 |
| 3 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 17 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Super League · Superliga
Head-to-head: FC St. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland
- 20 August 2026FC Nordsjaelland 1–0 FC St. GallenUEFA Europa Conference League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: FC St. Gallen and FC Nordsjaelland
FC St. Gallen
- A. Hunziker3 goals1 assists
FC Nordsjaelland
- H. Boe Rasmussen3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.