27 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

FC St. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Kybunpark, St. Gallen
Full time2 – 3

Final score: FC St. Gallen 2-3 FC Nordsjaelland.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% FC St. Gallen, 23% draw, 35% FC Nordsjaelland — fair odds of 2.38, 4.35 and 2.86.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League Playoff round tie. First leg: FC Nordsjaelland 1–0 FC St. Gallen (20 Aug) →

FC Nordsjaelland went through 4–2 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

FC St. Gallen at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC St. Gallen0%Draw4%FC Nordsjaelland96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

14'
⚽J. Lahteenmakiassist: L. Sadio
•Lukas Görtler
17'
⚽L. Gortler (pen)
21'
Mihailo Stevanović
22'
24'
⚽P. Amoakoassist: N. Rojkjaer
⚽A. Baldeassist: C. Okoroji
28'
Mihailo Stevanović
39'
Mihailo Stevanović
39'
🔁A. Hunzikerout: L. Frokaj
43'
45+4'
Ibrahim Adel
46'
🔁I. Adelout: A. Lind
Lukas Görtler
48'
66'
Juho Lähteenmäki
66'
🔁N. Rojkjaerout: M. Brink
66'
🔁P. Amoakoout: H. Rasmussen
Hugo Vandermersch
72'
74'
Peter Ankersen
Jozo Stanić
76'
79'
🔁L. Sadioout: V. Berthelsen
Lawrence Ati Zigi
82'
82'
⚽H. Rasmussenassist: A. Lind
🔁J. Ruizout: C. Kleine-Bekel
83'
🔁H. Vandermerschout: E. Owusu
83'
🔁A. Baldeout: D. Besio
83'
🔁C. Witzigout: N. Scherrer
86'
90+4'
🔁R. Norheimout: M. Walker

Match stats — FC St. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland

44%Possession56%
22Shots16
7On target5
2Corners5

Line-ups

FC St. Gallen 3-4-3
  • 1L. Ati ZigiG
  • 74J. RuizD
  • 4J. StanicD
  • 36C. OkorojiD
  • 28H. VandermerschM
  • 10L. DaschnerM
  • 16L. GortlerM
  • 64M. StevanovicM
  • 14A. BaldeF
  • 9A. HunzikerF
  • 7C. WitzigF
Substitutes
  • 25L. WatkowiakG
  • 3C. Kleine-BekelD
  • 68M. Heydari
  • 23B. FazlijiM
  • 20L. Frokaj
  • 63C. KonietzkeM
  • 47E. OwusuM
  • 70N. ScherrerF
  • 21M. EfekeleF
Coach: Enrico Maassen
FC Nordsjaelland 3-4-3
  • 13A. HansenG
  • 2P. AnkersenD
  • 3T. SalquistD
  • 15S. AcquahD
  • 25J. LahteenmakiM
  • 18J. JanssenM
  • 8N. RojkjaerM
  • 23R. NorheimM
  • 37L. SadioF
  • 10P. AmoakoF
  • 14I. AdelF
Substitutes
  • 31A. SondenbroeG
  • 22C. ErikssonG
  • 32V. GustafsenD
  • 42M. TukaD
  • 4N. MarkmannD
  • 28M. WalkerD
  • 6M. BrinkM
  • 47M. HeydeM
  • 11A. LindF
Coach: Jens Olsen

Form going into FC St. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland

FC St. Gallen

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to FC Nordsjaelland20 August 2026
  • W5-1Sheriff Tiraspol13 August 2026
  • D2-2FC Luzern9 August 2026
  • W3-1away to Sheriff Tiraspol6 August 2026
  • W3-2away to FC Vaduz2 August 2026

FC Nordsjaelland

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0away to Sonderjyske23 August 2026
  • W1-0FC St. Gallen20 August 2026
  • W1-0Silkeborg16 August 2026
  • W5-0Valur Reykjavik13 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Valur Reykjavik6 August 2026

What these results say

  • FC St. Gallen conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • FC St. Gallen scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for FC St. Gallen had three goals or more.
  • FC Nordsjaelland won every one of these 5 matches.
  • FC Nordsjaelland scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • FC Nordsjaelland kept a clean sheet in every one of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

FC St. Gallen and FC Nordsjaelland in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
4FC St. GallenSuper League137152422+222
25FC NordsjaellandUEFA Europa Conference League302135-22

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Switzerland Super League · UEFA Europa Conference League

Head-to-head: FC St. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland

  • 20 August 2026FC Nordsjaelland 1–0 FC St. GallenUEFA Europa Conference League

Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.

Leading scorers: FC St. Gallen and FC Nordsjaelland

FC St. Gallen

GoalsAssists

  • L. Görtler42
  • A. Hunziker40

FC Nordsjaelland

GoalsAssists

  • N. Røjkjær42

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Nordsjaelland won 3–2 at FC St. Gallen. The model had leaned towards a win for FC St. Gallen at 42% and given a win for FC Nordsjaelland 35%. The goals: J. Lahteenmaki 14' for FC Nordsjaelland, L. Gortler (penalty) 21' for FC St. Gallen, P. Amoako 24' for FC Nordsjaelland, A. Balde 28' for FC St. Gallen, H. Rasmussen 82' for FC Nordsjaelland. Sent off: Mihailo Stevanović (FC St. Gallen) 39'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.