ASO Chlef vs MC Alger Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: ASO Chlef 1-1 MC Alger.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% ASO Chlef, 29% draw, 46% MC Alger — fair odds of 4.00, 3.45 and 2.17.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
MC Alger at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 30C. Rahmani
- 26A. Debbari
- 13S. Lamrani
- 3O. Benattia
- 28A. Hamdani
- 15C. Bekkouche
- 12I. Moussa
- 6M. Belaribi
- 14O. Diakite
- 2A. Benchouya
- 22E. Ledlum
- A. Tergou
- 4Z. Abdelli
- 11Y. Belaribi
- 10I. Larbi
- 17S. Aiboud
- 27A. Feddal
- 25K. Avotor
- 29M. D. Bounoua
- 8M. Abboub
- 1A. Ramdane
- 20M. Halaimia
- 19A. Ghezala
- 5A. Abdellaoui
- 12M. Zougrana
- 8Z. Ferhat
- 28O. Benhaoua
- 21M. Abdelkader
- 17C. Boukholda
- 22S. Konate
- 18M. Bangoura
- 16Y. Gourari Tebaa
- 7S. Bayazid
- 23M. Mehdaoui
- 2Y. Gassi
- 10A. Azaizeh
- 24Z. Naidji
- 4A. Satta
- 11M. Nduwumwe
- 27A. Menezla
Form going into ASO Chlef vs MC Alger
ASO Chlef
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to JS Kabylie9 October 2026
MC Alger
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Témouchent9 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Algeria Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | ASO Chlef | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 |
| 3 | MC Alger | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: ASO Chlef vs MC Alger
- 5 June 2026MC Alger 2–0 ASO ChlefLigue 1
- 9 January 2026ASO Chlef 0–0 MC AlgerLigue 1
- 17 June 2025ASO Chlef 0–0 MC AlgerLigue 1
- 20 December 2024MC Alger 0–0 ASO ChlefLigue 1
- 14 March 2024MC Alger 6–3 ASO ChlefLigue 1
The result against the call
ASO Chlef and MC Alger drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for MC Alger at 46% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Z. Ferhat 14' for MC Alger, O. Diakite 60' for ASO Chlef. Sent off: C. Bekkouche (ASO Chlef) 90+2'.
How the call on ASO Chlef v MC Alger has moved
First published on 6 Oct at 27% / 30% / 43% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 25% / 29% / 46%: the biggest move is MC Alger's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- ASO Chlef win25%▼ −2
- Draw29%▼ −1
- MC Alger win46%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.