USM Alger vs JS Saoura Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: USM Alger 1-0 JS Saoura.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% USM Alger, 29% draw, 27% JS Saoura — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
USM Alger at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
Form going into USM Alger vs JS Saoura
USM Alger
Ligue 1
- L0-1away to MB Rouisset8 October 2026
- W3-2away to Olympique Akbou19 September 2026
JS Saoura
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Olympique Akbou8 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Algeria Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | USM Alger | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 14 |
| 13 | JS Saoura | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: USM Alger vs JS Saoura
- 4 March 2026USM Alger 1–0 JS SaouraCoupe Nationale
- 21 February 2026USM Alger 1–2 JS SaouraLigue 1
- 20 September 2025JS Saoura 1–0 USM AlgerLigue 1
- 26 April 2025JS Saoura 2–1 USM AlgerLigue 1
- 16 November 2024USM Alger 2–0 JS SaouraLigue 1
The result against the call
USM Alger beat JS Saoura 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for USM Alger at 44%. The goal: M. Bouderbala 31' for USM Alger.
How the call on USM Alger v JS Saoura has moved
First published on 6 Oct at 41% / 30% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 44% / 29% / 27%: the biggest move is USM Alger's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- USM Alger win44%▲ +3
- Draw29%▼ −1
- JS Saoura win27%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.