Atletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas Primera División prediction & result
Final score: Atletico Grau 0-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Atletico Grau, 27% draw, 22% Club Deportivo Los Chankas — fair odds of 1.96, 3.70 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Primera División (Peru) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Atletico Grau at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Atletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Line-ups
- 1P. ÁlvarezG
- 27R. TapiaD
- 3I. TapiaD
- 16J. AtaupillcoD
- 25G. AlfaroD
- 5R. GuarderasM
- 13F. OncoyM
- 8C. VásquezM
- 20A. VásquezM
- 24Yamir Ruidíaz MisitichM
- 99A. FernándezF
- 96L. BenítesM
- 7D. BarretoM
- 2L. AcevedoD
- 33J. CalderónG
- 21E. CorreaM
- 17H. EspinozaM
- 15P. LavandeiraM
- 6E. RodasD
- 9R. RuidíazF
- 1H. CamachoG
- 33C. PimientaD
- 2H. GonzálezD
- 24G. RizzoD
- 27K. BarriosD
- 18O. TakeuchiM
- 7J. OspinaM
- 5J. PalominoM
- 6A. AyarzaM
- 10F. TorresF
- 20M. TorresF
- 4A. CamposM
- 16A. ChávezD
- 77F. EspinozaF
- 15K. SánchezM
- 26D. GonzálesD
- 14B. GuevaraD
- 30M. KaufmanD
- 12L. PretelG
- 11J. QuinteroF
Peru Primera División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 48 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Atletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
- 17 April 2026Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2–0 Atletico GrauPrimera División
- 10 August 2025Club Deportivo Los Chankas 3–2 Atletico GrauPrimera División
- 10 March 2025Atletico Grau 2–1 Club Deportivo Los ChankasPrimera División
- 21 August 2024Atletico Grau 1–1 Club Deportivo Los ChankasPrimera División
- 15 March 2024Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0–1 Atletico GrauPrimera División
- 16 September 2021Club Deportivo Los Chankas 3–1 Atletico GrauSegunda División
Leading scorers: Atletico Grau and Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Atletico Grau
No player in Primera División's leading scorers — 32 league goals as a side.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
GoalsAssists
- F. Torres95
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Atletico Grau and Club Deportivo Los Chankas drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Atletico Grau at 51% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. Sent off: Abdiel Ayarza (Club Deportivo Los Chankas) 63'.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Atletico Grau a 2.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: under 1% after a win, 2.8% after a draw, 4.5% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 2.8%, 0.7 points higher than before the match.
For Club Deportivo Los Chankas the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 2.6% going in: 6.2% after a win, 2.2% after a draw, 1.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 2.2%.
Read from our Primera División season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Atletico Grau v Club Deportivo Los Chankas has moved
First published on 6 Oct at 46% / 29% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 51% / 27% / 22%: the biggest move is Atletico Grau's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- Atletico Grau win51%▲ +5
- Draw27%▼ −2
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas win22%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.