Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Atletico San Luis 0-0 Club Tijuana.
Before kick-off the model made it 26% Atletico San Luis, 19% draw, 55% Club Tijuana — fair odds of 3.85, 5.26 and 1.82.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Club Tijuana at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Andrés SánchezG
- 3Robson BambuD
- 14Miguel Alonso GarcíaD
- 31Eduardo ÁguilaD
- 21Oscar MacíasM
- 2Román TorresM
- 11David RodriguezM
- 10Sébastien Salles-LamongeM
- 16Lucas EstevesM
- 20Leonardo FloresF
- 22SergioF
- 18Aldo CruzD
- 99Felipe MoraF
- 8Ronaldo NájeraM
- 17Anderson DuarteF
- 19Santiago MuñozF
- 25Gibran LajudG
- 30Benjamín GalindoD
- 13Johan CaicedoM
- 26Sebastián Pérez BouquetM
- 2Antonio RodríguezG
- 3Rafael FernándezD
- 12Jackson PorozoD
- 6Jesús GómezD
- 33Pablo Nicolás OrtízD
- 8Iván TonaM
- 17Ramiro ÁrcigaM
- 34Frank BoyaM
- 10Gilberto MoraM
- 7Adonis PreciadoM
- 19Diego AbreuF
- 15José RiveroM
- 31Yael PadillaF
- 9Mourad El GhezouaniF
- 16Jesús VegaD
- 29Jorge HernándezG
- 18Aarón MejíaF
- 188Alejandro MagallonD
- 20Ángel ZapataM
- 26Aldahir PérezM
Form going into Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana
Atletico San Luis
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Tigres UANL26 July 2026
- L2-3Cruz Azul18 July 2026
Club Tijuana
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Leon25 July 2026
- W3-1Tigres UANL17 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 19 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana
- 18 January 2026Club Tijuana 1–1 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
- 15 September 2025Atletico San Luis 1–1 Club TijuanaLiga MX
- 11 April 2025Club Tijuana 2–1 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
- 20 July 2024Atletico San Luis 1–1 Club TijuanaLiga MX
- 17 February 2024Atletico San Luis 3–3 Club TijuanaLiga MX
The result against the call
Atletico San Luis and Club Tijuana drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Club Tijuana at 55% and given a draw 19%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.47–0.29.