Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Austria Vienna 2-1 Austria Lustenau.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Austria Vienna, 29% draw, 31% Austria Lustenau — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Austria Vienna at 40% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau
Line-ups
- 1S. Şahin-RadlingerG
- 26R. RanftlD
- 15A. DragovićD
- 46J. HandlD
- 40Daniel NnodimM
- 5V. MüllerM
- 6Philipp MaybachM
- 17Lee Tae-SeokM
- 30M. FischerM
- 7V. MarkovicM
- 19J. EggesteinF
- 22F. WustingerM
- 10S. SaljicM
- 14K. BoatengF
- 3I. BuhariD
- 74H. DeshihskuF
- 20J. HettwerF
- 99M. KosG
- 16Lee Kang-HeeM
- 21Matteo SchablasM
- 27D. SchierlG
- 21AnilsonD
- 15E. ChukwuD
- 29N. PertlwieserD
- 3Danilo SoaresD
- 8D. KacuriM
- 11D. WeixelbraunM
- 20L. AfrifaM
- 17A. GashiM
- 24S. DiarraM
- 39A. VerinacF
- 14P. BenjaminF
- 30P. BöhmG
- 19S. DelayeM
- 18R. VoisineD
- 7F. GmeinerD
- 26L. IbertsbergerD
- 61H. IsmailcebiogluM
- 9L. JastremskiF
- 31M. MaakD
Form going into Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau
Austria Vienna
- L0-1WSG Wattens2 September 2026
- L1-4away to Red Bull Salzburg30 August 2026
- W2-0away to TSV Hartberg16 August 2026
- L0-2Lask Linz9 August 2026
Austria Lustenau
- L0-4WSG Wattens28 August 2026
- D1-1away to Sturm Graz22 August 2026
- W2-1Wolfsberger AC15 August 2026
- L1-2away to Grazer AK8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Austria Vienna | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 |
| 11 | Austria Lustenau | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau
- 13 September 2026Austria Vienna 2–1 Austria LustenauBundesliga
- 3 May 2024Austria Lustenau 2–0 Austria ViennaBundesliga
- 6 April 2024Austria Vienna 1–1 Austria LustenauBundesliga
- 4 November 2023Austria Vienna 1–0 Austria LustenauBundesliga
- 6 August 2023Austria Lustenau 0–2 Austria ViennaBundesliga
- 11 June 2023Austria Vienna 5–0 Austria LustenauBundesliga
Leading scorers: Austria Vienna and Austria Lustenau
Austria Vienna
- J. Hettwer2 goals
Austria Lustenau
- D. Weixelbraun3 goals1 assists
- A. Verinac2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.