Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Sturm Graz 2-1 Lask Linz.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Sturm Graz, 29% draw, 30% Lask Linz — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Austrian Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Sturm Graz at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz
Line-ups
- 53D. KhudyakovG
- 28J. HeilD
- 2J. QuarshieD
- 5A. VallciD
- 23A. MalicD
- 19S. SeidlM
- 78V. MatoshiM
- 4J. Gorenc StankovičM
- 43Jacob Peter HödlM
- 15G. MamageishviliF
- 20S. JattaF
- 10O. KiteishviliM
- 30P. KollerD
- 21P. PetrovićD
- 8F. RózgaM
- 39Luca WeinhandlM
- 22A. HelacG
- 14O. DiakitéF
- 26B. BeganovićF
- 27L. BalboD
- 1L. JungwirthG
- 4X. MbuyambaD
- 43AlemãoD
- 16A. AndradeD
- 20K. JørgensenM
- 6M. BogardeM
- 30S. HorvathM
- 2G. BelloM
- 9K. DaněkM
- 8M. UsorF
- 27C. LangF
- 33T. SchützenauerG
- 3M. FreckletonD
- 23Daniel ElfadliM
- 25Y. DibangoD
- 29F. FleckerF
- 18A. SchöpfM
- 10R. LjubičićM
- 11S. KalajdzicF
- 45N. KaneF
Form going into Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz
Sturm Graz
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Rapid Vienna30 August 2026
- D1-1Austria Lustenau22 August 2026
- W1-0SCR Altach15 August 2026
- L0-1Fenerbahçe11 August 2026
- W2-0away to TSV Hartberg8 August 2026
Lask Linz
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to AEK Athens FC8 September 2026
- W3-1away to Wolfsberger AC1 September 2026
- W3-0SCR Altach29 August 2026
- W5-1Celtic25 August 2026
- L0-3away to Celtic19 August 2026
What these results say
- Sturm Graz scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Sturm Graz had two goals or fewer.
- Lask Linz conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Lask Linz had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Austria Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sturm Graz | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 17 | +5 | 19 |
| 3 | Lask Linz | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 15 | +15 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz
- 22 April 2026Sturm Graz 1–1 Lask LinzBundesliga
- 19 April 2026Lask Linz 1–1 Sturm GrazBundesliga
- 23 November 2025Sturm Graz 1–3 Lask LinzBundesliga
- 1 August 2025Lask Linz 0–2 Sturm GrazBundesliga
- 16 March 2025Sturm Graz 4–2 Lask LinzBundesliga
Leading scorers: Sturm Graz and Lask Linz
Sturm Graz
GoalsAssists
- O. Diakité90
Lask Linz
GoalsAssists
- C. Lang80
- S. Adeniran62
- M. Usor33
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sturm Graz beat Lask Linz 2–1. The model had made a win for Sturm Graz its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Gizo Mamageishvili 34' for Sturm Graz, Krystof Danek 45+3' for Lask Linz, Oumar Diakité 59' for Sturm Graz.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.