FC Krasnodar vs Akron Premier League prediction & result
Final score: FC Krasnodar 1-1 Akron.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% FC Krasnodar, 26% draw, 27% Akron — fair odds of 2.13, 3.85 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Krasnodar at 47% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Krasnodar vs Akron
Line-ups
- 1S. AgkatsevG
- 40I. VakhaniaD
- 3Vítor TormenaD
- 5JubalD
- 15L. OlazaD
- 53A. ChernikovM
- 8Douglas AugustoM
- 6Kevin PinaM
- 10D. VorobjevF
- 9J. CórdobaF
- 11BatxiF
- 23J. BoselliF
- 59A. KhmarinD
- 16A. KoryakinG
- 21M. OzdoevM
- 17V. PaltsevD
- 98S. PetrovD
- 2M. RodríguezD
- 47D. UtkinM
- 88V. GudievG
- 13V. BardybakhinD
- 26João EscovalD
- 19M. BokoevD
- 21R. FernándezD
- 8K. BistrovićM
- 15S. LončarM
- 22K. MaradishviliM
- 11DuduF
- 9S. TedićF
- 7Gilson BenchimolF
- 6K. HovhannisyanM
- 80K. KhosonovM
- 89D. PopenkovM
- 2Y. RochaD
- 99A. ShumanskiyF
- 32I. TerekhovskiyG
- 69A. DmitrievF
- 91M. BoldyrevM
- 10Kevin ArevaloM
Form going into FC Krasnodar vs Akron
FC Krasnodar
- D2-2away to Krylia Sovetov5 September 2026
- W1-0FC Rostov29 August 2026
- W1-0away to Dinamo Makhachkala23 August 2026
- W1-0Akhmat15 August 2026
Akron
- D2-2away to FC Orenburg6 September 2026
- D2-2CSKA Moscow28 August 2026
- L0-3Krylia Sovetov23 August 2026
- D3-3away to Rodina Moskva15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Krasnodar | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 20 |
| 15 | Akron | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Krasnodar vs Akron
- 13 September 2026FC Krasnodar 1–1 AkronPremier League
- 3 May 2026Akron 0–1 FC KrasnodarPremier League
- 13 September 2025FC Krasnodar 2–1 AkronPremier League
- 5 April 2025FC Krasnodar 1–0 AkronPremier League
- 21 September 2024Akron 2–5 FC KrasnodarPremier League
- 3 May 2023Krasnodar 0–0 AkronCup
Leading scorers: FC Krasnodar and Akron
FC Krasnodar
- N. Krivtsov3 goals1 assists
- Jubal3 goals
- Christian2 goals2 assists
Akron
- Gilson Benchimol3 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.