29 August 2026, 19:00 UTC

Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus Serie B prediction & result

Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Avellino 3-0 Vicenza Virtus.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Avellino, 22% draw, 39% Vicenza Virtus — fair odds of 2.56, 4.55 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Avellino at 39% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1772 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus

Avellino

  • L1-2Arezzo22 August 2026

Vicenza Virtus

  • W3-2Catanzaro21 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Avellino421163+37
12Vicenza Virtus412168-25

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus

  • 2 June 2024Vicenza Virtus 2–1 AvellinoSerie C - Promotion - Play-offs
  • 28 May 2024Avellino 0–0 Vicenza VirtusSerie C - Promotion - Play-offs
  • 25 February 2017Avellino 3–1 Vicenza VirtusSerie B
  • 24 September 2016Vicenza Virtus 0–0 AvellinoSerie B

Leading scorers: Avellino and Vicenza Virtus

Avellino

  • R. Russo2 goals1 assists
  • M. Besaggio2 goals

Vicenza Virtus

  • T. Corazza1 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.