Padova vs Hellas Verona Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Padova 1-1 Hellas Verona.
Before kick-off the model made it 26% Padova, 24% draw, 50% Hellas Verona — fair odds of 3.85, 4.17 and 2.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hellas Verona at 50% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Padova vs Hellas Verona
Padova
- W1-0away to Pisa23 August 2026
Hellas Verona
- L1-2Ascoli23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Padova | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 | Hellas Verona | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Padova vs Hellas Verona
- 20 January 2019Padova 3–0 Hellas VeronaSerie B
- 26 August 2018Hellas Verona 1–1 PadovaSerie B
Leading scorers: Padova and Hellas Verona
Padova
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Hellas Verona
- S. Mulattieri2 goals1 assists
- S. Cerbone2 goals
- A. Sarr2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.