29 August 2026, 19:00 UTC

Padova vs Hellas Verona Serie B prediction & result

Stadio Euganeo, Padova
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Padova 1-1 Hellas Verona.

Before kick-off the model made it 26% Padova, 24% draw, 50% Hellas Verona — fair odds of 3.85, 4.17 and 2.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Hellas Verona at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Pietro Fusi
18'
Christian Pastina
24'
⚽A. Edmundsson (OG)
25'
27'
Tobias Slotsager
46'
🔁T. Slotsagerout: S. Korac
🔁P. Fusiout: G. Giunti
59'
🔁G. Caprariout: K. Lasagna
59'
65'
🔁A. Harrouiout: D. Livramento
67'
⚽A. Sarr (pen)
🔁L. Moroout: M. Bortolussi
70'
🔁M. Cocchiout: A. Capelli
70'
Giovanni Giunti
75'
78'
🔁G. Zappaout: N. Calabrese
78'
🔁M. Compagnonout: G. Kastanos
78'
🔁A. Sarrout: S. Cerbone
🔁M. Pompettiout: F. Di Mariano
83'
Alessandro Capelli
90'

Match stats — Padova vs Hellas Verona

39%Possession61%
7Shots14
2On target3
2Corners6
0.94xG1.62

Goals against chances

Padova1 from 0.94 xGabout what the chances were worth
Hellas Verona1 from 1.62 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Padova 3-5-2
  • 22A. SorrentinoG
  • 27A. DellavalleD
  • 5M. LovatoD
  • 58C. PastinaD
  • 24L. CarissoniM
  • 14M. PompettiM
  • 21E. ZuelliM
  • 8P. FusiM
  • 34M. CocchiM
  • 9L. MoroF
  • 10G. CaprariF
Substitutes
  • 1L. MouquetG
  • 32F. SgarbiD
  • 18E. SillettiD
  • 72C. FaedoD
  • 6G. GiuntiM
  • 7K. VarasM
  • 74D. MarcoliniM
  • 23F. Di MarianoM
  • 15K. LasagnaF
Coach: Roberto Breda
Hellas Verona 3-5-2
  • 1N. LealiG
  • 28T. SlotsagerD
  • 5A. EdmundssonD
  • 6D. BradaricD
  • 4G. ZappaM
  • 17A. Le BorgneM
  • 24A. BernedeM
  • 21A. HarrouiM
  • 9A. SarrM
  • 11M. CompagnonF
  • 19S. MulattieriF
Substitutes
  • 34S. PerilliG
  • 22G. TonioloG
  • 71D. De BattistiD
  • 48S. KoracD
  • 37N. CalabreseD
  • 23N. LellaM
  • 70F. ChamD
  • 20G. KastanosM
  • 79K. SezonienkoF
Coach: Marco Baroni

Form going into Padova vs Hellas Verona

Padova

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0away to Pisa23 August 2026

Hellas Verona

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2Ascoli23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Padova114341213-115
7Hellas Verona114431913+616

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Padova vs Hellas Verona

  • 20 January 2019Padova 3–0 Hellas VeronaSerie B
  • 26 August 2018Hellas Verona 1–1 PadovaSerie B

Leading scorers: Padova and Hellas Verona

Padova

No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.

Hellas Verona

GoalsAssists

  • D. Mosquera70

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Padova and Hellas Verona drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Hellas Verona at 50% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: A. Edmundsson (own goal) 25' for Padova, A. Sarr (penalty) 67' for Hellas Verona. On expected goals it finished 0.94–1.62.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.