Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Bate Borisov 2-1 Slavia Mozyr.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Bate Borisov, 31% draw, 33% Slavia Mozyr — fair odds of 2.78, 3.23 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Bate Borisov at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr
Line-ups
- 35A. SkopetsG
- 88P. DubovskiyD
- 6H. MoussakhanianD
- 28I. MikhnyukD
- 23N. BochkoM
- 52E. KressM
- 7V. AngbanM
- 25N. NeskoromnyM
- 17Y. KovalevF
- 37E. PuertoF
- 26V. VaraksaF
- 16D. SokolG
- 5M. SakutaD
- 47A. SakhonchikM
- 10E. RusakovM
- 13Y. KhramtsevichM
- 30T. GagloevM
- 18P. KolosovskiyM
- 21M. TitovM
- 42A. ZhurinD
- 16E. AbramovichG
- 88D. YashinD
- 18N. MelnikovD
- 4I. RashchenyaD
- 3Ricky NgatchouD
- 49A. DzhigeroM
- 6Y. KuznetsovM
- 21E. ShevchenkoM
- 11A. AntilevskiyM
- 44T. LutsevichF
- 17K. ChernookF
- 9O. BatyshchevM
- 7N. RomanovF
- 2A. ShemrukD
- 27Pavel ChikidaD
- 19A. DerzhinskiyM
- 14D. FedorenkoM
- 20I. VerenichF
- 30V. LikhtinM
- 23V. IgnatjevG
Form going into Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr
Bate Borisov
All competitions we cover
- L0-4away to FC Sion30 July 2026
- D1-1FC Sion23 July 2026
Slavia Mozyr
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Belarus Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bate Borisov | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 24 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 34 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr
- 24 May 2026Slavia Mozyr 1–1 Bate BorisovPremier League
- 29 April 2026Bate Borisov 2–0 Slavia MozyrCoppa
- 15 April 2026Slavia Mozyr 0–1 Bate BorisovCoppa
- 9 November 2025Bate Borisov 1–1 Slavia MozyrPremier League
- 20 June 2025Slavia Mozyr 1–1 Bate BorisovPremier League
- 5 October 2024Slavia Mozyr 2–3 Bate BorisovPremier League
Leading scorers: Bate Borisov and Slavia Mozyr
Bate Borisov
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.
Slavia Mozyr
GoalsAssists
- T. Lutsevich21
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Bate Borisov beat Slavia Mozyr 2–1. The model had made a win for Bate Borisov its most likely outcome, at 36%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: egor kress 27' for Bate Borisov, Vladislav Varaksa 36' for Bate Borisov, Denis·Fedorenko 50' for Slavia Mozyr.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Bate Borisov a 46.3% chance to finish in the bottom three: 33.6% after a win, 48.4% after a draw, 59.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 33.6%, 12.7 points lower than before the match.
For Slavia Mozyr the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 2.5% going in: under 1% after a win, 1.9% after a draw, 4.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 4.4%, 1.9 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.