9 October 2026, 12:30 UTC

Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk Premier League prediction & result

Avanhard Stadium, Uzhhorod
Referee: Viktor Kopievskiy
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Veres Rivne 0-3 Shakhtar Donetsk.

Before kick-off the model made it 16% Veres Rivne, 24% draw, 60% Shakhtar Donetsk — fair odds of 6.25, 4.17 and 1.67.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Shakhtar Donetsk at 60%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Veres Rivne0%Draw1%Shakhtar Donetsk99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

32'
⚽Pedrinho
Rostyslav baran
37'
Igor Kharatin
39'
39'
Dmytro Kryskiv
45'
🔁Dmytro Kryskivout: Isaque
58'
⚽Mykola Matvienkoassist: Valeriy Bondar
🔁Danyil Checherout: David Niyo
65'
68'
Mykola Matvienko
71'
⚽Pedro Henriqueassist: Pedrinho
72'
🔁Mykola Matvienkoout: Luca Meirelles
73'
🔁Pedro Henriqueout: Oleksandr Karavaev
73'
🔁Kauã Eliasout: Egor Nazaryna
🔁Vladyslav Sharayout: Wesley Pomba
73'
81'
🔁Pedrinhoout: Alan Matturro
🔁André Gonçalvesout: Guilherme Bahia
84'
🔁Fabrício Yan Peixoto Barros Limeiraout: Stanislav Migutskyi
84'
90'
Isaque

Match stats — Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk

30%Possession70%
4Shots20
2On target9
3Corners13

Line-ups

Veres Rivne 4-4-2
  • 91V. GorokhG
  • 17M. ProtasevychD
  • 4K. CipotD
  • 3S. VovchenkoD
  • 2M. SmiyanD
  • 19André GonçalvesM
  • 14I. KharatinM
  • 44D. ChecherM
  • 77V. SharayM
  • 7Fabrício YanF
  • 88R. BaranF
Substitutes
  • 30L. KhokhashviliM
  • 27S. MigutskyiF
  • 6David NiyoM
  • 25I. SanotskyiF
  • 53Andrey VictorD
  • 1Pavlo StefanyukG
  • 55Anton VydrychF
  • 20Alagie WallyF
  • 11L. PombaM
Coach: O. Shandruk
Shakhtar Donetsk 4-1-4-1
  • 31D. RiznykG
  • 17Vinícius TobiasD
  • 5V. BondarD
  • 22M. MatvienkoD
  • 13PedrinhoD
  • 8D. KryskivM
  • 30Alisson SantanaM
  • 10PedrinhoM
  • 6Marlon GomesM
  • 11NewerttonM
  • 9Kauã EliasF
Substitutes
  • 77G. MendozaM
  • 28A. MatturroD
  • 20O. KaravaevM
  • 25Gabriel CarvalhoF
  • 37Lucas FerreiraM
  • 48Denys TvardovskyiG
  • 24V. TsukanovM
  • 14IsaqueM
  • 49Luca MeirellesF
Coach: A. Turan

Form going into Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk

Veres Rivne

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Kudrivka3 October 2026

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to PSV Eindhoven10 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ukraine Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Veres Rivne12237718-119
1Shakhtar Donetsk12921225+1729

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk

  • 27 February 2026Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Veres RivnePremier League
  • 17 August 2025Veres Rivne 0–2 Shakhtar DonetskPremier League
  • 6 April 2025Shakhtar Donetsk 3–0 Veres RivnePremier League
  • 27 September 2024Veres Rivne 1–1 Shakhtar DonetskPremier League
  • 8 December 2023Shakhtar Donetsk 2–0 Veres RivnePremier League
  • 26 September 2023Veres Rivne 0–3 Shakhtar DonetskCup

Leading scorers: Veres Rivne and Shakhtar Donetsk

Veres Rivne

GoalsAssists

  • André Gonçalves22

Shakhtar Donetsk

GoalsAssists

  • Alisson Santana32
  • Kauã Elias30

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Shakhtar Donetsk won 3–0 at Veres Rivne. The model had made a win for Shakhtar Donetsk its most likely outcome, at 60%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Pedrinho 32' for Shakhtar Donetsk, Mykola Matvienko 58' for Shakhtar Donetsk, Pedro Henrique 71' for Shakhtar Donetsk. Sent off: Rostyslav baran (Veres Rivne) 37'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Veres Rivne a 11.3% chance to finish in the bottom three: 6.6% after a win, 9.3% after a draw, 12.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 12.5%, 1.2 points higher than before the match.

For Shakhtar Donetsk the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 72.1% going in: 74.8% after a win, 69.3% after a draw, 63.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 74.8%, 2.7 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Veres Rivne v Shakhtar Donetsk has moved

First published on 2 Oct at 19% / 27% / 54% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 16% / 24% / 60%: the biggest move is Shakhtar Donetsk's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. Veres Rivne win16%▼ −3
  2. Draw24%▼ −3
  3. Shakhtar Donetsk win60%▲ +6

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.