Goias vs Ponte Preta Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Goias 1-0 Ponte Preta.
Before kick-off the model made it 72% Goias, 18% draw, 10% Ponte Preta — fair odds of 1.39, 5.56 and 10.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Brazilian Serie B predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Goias at 72%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Goias vs Ponte Preta
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 23TadeuG
- 54Djalma SilvaD
- 3Luiz FelipeD
- 14Lucas RibeiroD
- 6NicolasD
- 5Filipe MachadoM
- 97LourençoM
- 11Felipe ClementeM
- 10Lucas LimaM
- 40KaduM
- 18CaduF
- 27Wellington RatoM
- 1Thiago RodriguesG
- 2Rodrigo SoaresD
- 4Ramon MenezesD
- 17Pedro JunqueiraF
- 8JuninhoM
- 21Jean Carlos Alves FerreiraM
- 77HalerrandrioF
- 28GegêM
- 1Guilherme VianaG
- 32Felipe Di MauroD
- 23S. PalaciosD
- 15Gabriel CaranD
- 44Gustavo AlmeidaD
- 19DaniloD
- 35Gustavo LopesM
- 5Rodrigo SouzaM
- 8KarlM
- 9BrandãoF
- 7Emanuell Silva FerreiraF
- 4Diego Monteiro LeaoD
- 17MiguelM
- 30José Luiz RodriguesG
- 3Guilherme Martins FerreiraM
- 22Ryan Henrique Pereira AndradeM
- 21Vitor Ribeiro FernandesF
- 6JuanD
- 16KawannD
- 2JulioD
Form going into Goias vs Ponte Preta
Goias
Serie B
- W2-1CRB2 November 2026
- W2-0away to Ceara27 October 2026
- D0-0Nautico Recife19 October 2026
Ponte Preta
Serie B
- L0-2away to Criciuma30 October 2026
- D2-2Fortaleza EC24 October 2026
- D1-1Atletico Goianiense16 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Brazil Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Goias | 38 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 58 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 38 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 21 | 81 | -60 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Goias vs Ponte Preta
- 18 July 2026Ponte Preta 1–2 GoiasSerie B
- 17 August 2024Ponte Preta 1–1 GoiasSerie B
- 28 April 2024Goias 3–0 Ponte PretaSerie B
- 3 November 2021Goias 2–2 Ponte PretaSerie B
- 23 July 2021Ponte Preta 2–1 GoiasSerie B
- 21 September 2018Goias 2–2 Ponte PretaSerie B
Leading scorers: Goias and Ponte Preta
Goias
GoalsAssists
- Kadu111
Ponte Preta
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 21 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Goias beat Ponte Preta 1–0. The model had made a win for Goias its most likely outcome, at 72%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goal: Nicolas Vichiatto Da Silva 90+5' for Goias. On expected goals it finished 1.73–0.70.
How the call on Goias v Ponte Preta has moved
First published on 25 Oct at 70% / 19% / 11% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 72% / 18% / 10%: the biggest move is Goias's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Goias win72%▲ +2
- Draw18%▼ −1
- Ponte Preta win10%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.