6 September 2026, 16:00 UTC

Bologna vs Sassuolo Serie A prediction & result

Bologna
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Bologna 2-2 Sassuolo.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Bologna, 29% draw, 28% Sassuolo — fair odds of 2.33, 3.45 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Bologna at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Bologna0%Draw5%Sassuolo95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

19'
⚽Josh Doig
38'
🔁Cristian Volpatoout: Domenico Berardi
🔁Rahim Alhassaneout: Juan Miranda
45'
🔁Jens Odgaardout: Marco Libra
45'
🔁Tommaso Pobegaout: Nikola Moro
45'
⚽Roberto Piccoliassist: Juan Miranda
50'
Emil Holm
51'
Roberto Piccoli
53'
54'
Jay Idzes
56'
⚽Vasilije Adzic
60'
🔁Vasilije Adzicout: Kristian Thorstvedt
60'
🔁Luca Lipaniout: Ibrahim Sulemana
🔁Nicolo Cambiaghiout: Artem Dovbyk
66'
80'
🔁Nemanja Matićout: Andrea Ghion
80'
🔁Josh Doigout: Rafael Obrador
🔁Federico Bernardeschiout: Samuel Mbangula Tshifunda
86'
⚽Artem Dovbyk
90+1'
Artem Dovbyk
90+1'
Domenico Tedesco
90+4'

Match stats — Bologna vs Sassuolo

62%Possession38%
21Shots15
5On target6
10Corners7

Line-ups

Bologna 4-2-3-1
  • 1Ł. SkorupskiG
  • 2E. HolmD
  • 14T. HeggemD
  • 3A. TheateD
  • 23R. AlhassaneD
  • 19L. FergusonM
  • 4T. PobegaM
  • 10F. BernardeschiM
  • 21J. OdgaardM
  • 28N. CambiaghiM
  • 91R. PiccoliF
Substitutes
  • 8M. AmondarainM
  • 29L. De SilvestriD
  • 9A. DovbykF
  • 22J. EnemF
  • 20N. ZorteaD
  • 41M. VitíkD
  • 25M. PessinaG
  • 6N. MoroM
  • 33Juan MirandaD
Coach: D. Tedesco
Sassuolo 4-3-3
  • 49A. MurićG
  • 46S. CinquegranoD
  • 21J. IdzesD
  • 16F. LeysenD
  • 3J. DoigD
  • 17Vasilije AdžićM
  • 18N. MatićM
  • 35L. LipaniM
  • 7C. VolpatoF
  • 9K. BowieF
  • 45A. LaurientéF
Substitutes
  • 94S. EspositoF
  • 10D. BerardiF
  • 25B. DomínguezF
  • 8A. GhionM
  • 33Rafael ObradorD
  • 26C. OdenthalD
  • 77N. PieriniF
  • 12G. SatalinoG
  • 55I. SulemanaM
Coach: A. Aquilani

Form going into Bologna vs Sassuolo

Bologna

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Atalanta31 August 2026
  • L0-1Lazio24 August 2026

Sassuolo

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Torino29 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Atalanta23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Bologna115241614+217
17Sassuolo112271629-138

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Bologna vs Sassuolo

  • 15 March 2026Sassuolo 0–1 BolognaSerie A
  • 28 December 2025Bologna 1–1 SassuoloSerie A
  • 3 February 2024Bologna 4–2 SassuoloSerie A
  • 28 October 2023Sassuolo 1–1 BolognaSerie A
  • 8 May 2023Sassuolo 1–1 BolognaSerie A

The full Bologna vs Sassuolo record →

The result against the call

Bologna and Sassuolo drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Bologna at 43% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Josh Doig 19' for Sassuolo, Roberto Piccoli 50' for Bologna, Vasilije Adzic 56' for Sassuolo, Artem Dovbyk 90+1' for Bologna. Sent off: Domenico Tedesco (Bologna) 90+4'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.