6 September 2026, 13:00 UTC

Frosinone vs Venezia Serie A prediction & result

Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Frosinone 3-2 Venezia.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Frosinone, 27% draw, 31% Venezia — fair odds of 2.38, 3.70 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Frosinone at 42% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Frosinone96%Draw4%Venezia0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

16'
🔁Armel Bella-Kotchapout: Richie Sagrado
⚽Antonio Raimondoassist: Anthony Oyono
21'
33'
Redouane Halhal
Romano Schmid
33'
39'
Giovanni Stroppa
⚽Antonio Raimondoassist: Patrizio Masini
39'
40'
Gianluca Busio
44'
Simon Sohm
45'
🔁Albion Rrahmaniout: John Yeboah
45'
🔁Simon Sohmout: Toni Fernández
🔁Seydou Finiout: Farès Ghedjemis
57'
🔁Romano Schmidout: Matteo Cichella
57'
Anthony Oyono
61'
66'
⚽John Yeboahassist: Gianluca Busio
70'
🔁Akor Adamsout: Lion Lauberbach
74'
⚽Richie Sagradoassist: Antoine Hainaut
75'
🔁Ridgeciano Hapsout: Matias Moreno
🔁Giorgio Cittadiniout: Ilario Monterisi
79'
🔁Antonio Raimondoout: Daniel Birligea
79'
⚽Giorgi Kvernadze
83'
🔁Giacomo Calòout: Wisdom Amey
88'
89'
Matias Moreno

Match stats — Frosinone vs Venezia

39%Possession61%
13Shots15
8On target4
5Corners2

Line-ups

Frosinone 4-2-3-1
  • 22L. PalmisaniG
  • 20A. OyonoD
  • 2G. CittadiniD
  • 3G. CalvaniD
  • 79G. BracagliaD
  • 14G. CalòM
  • 73P. MasiniM
  • 40S. FiniM
  • 10R. SchmidM
  • 17G. KvernadzeM
  • 9A. RaimondoF
Substitutes
  • 74Omar FayedD
  • 5W. AmeyD
  • 89T. BobčekF
  • 7F. GhedjemisF
  • 11D. BîrligeaF
  • 27F. GrillitschM
  • 34A. El AzzouziM
  • 70L. HasaM
  • 91S. DesplanchesG
Coach: M. Alvini
Venezia 3-5-2
  • 1F. StankovićG
  • 3J. SchingtienneD
  • 17A. Bella-KotchapD
  • 25R. HalhalD
  • 18A. HainautM
  • 71Kike PérezM
  • 6G. BusioM
  • 19S. SohmM
  • 5R. HapsM
  • 7A. RrahmaniF
  • 45A. AdamsF
Substitutes
  • 70P. MazzocchiD
  • 96L. MontipòG
  • 2M. MorenoD
  • 55S. PanadaM
  • 14Thierry CorreiaD
  • 20R. SagradoD
  • 10J. YeboahF
  • 56K. LismanF
  • 29L. LauberbachF
Coach: G. Stroppa

Form going into Frosinone vs Venezia

Frosinone

  • W3-0away to Fiorentina29 August 2026
  • L0-1Juventus23 August 2026

Venezia

  • L0-2away to AC Milan28 August 2026
  • L0-2Lecce23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Frosinone421174+37
20Venezia4004411-70

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Frosinone vs Venezia

  • 6 September 2026Frosinone 3–2 VeneziaSerie A
  • 7 February 2026Frosinone 1–2 VeneziaSerie B
  • 4 October 2025Venezia 3–0 FrosinoneSerie B
  • 5 March 2023Frosinone 3–0 VeneziaSerie B
  • 14 October 2022Venezia 1–3 FrosinoneSerie B
  • 15 August 2021Venezia 1–1 FrosinoneCoppa Italia

Leading scorers: Frosinone and Venezia

Frosinone

  • A. Raimondo4 goals
  • G. Kvernadze2 goals1 assists

Venezia

No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.