6 September 2026, 13:00 UTC

Parma vs Monza Serie A prediction & result

Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Parma 1-1 Monza.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Parma, 32% draw, 35% Monza — fair odds of 3.03, 3.13 and 2.86.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Monza at 35%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Parma3%Draw94%Monza3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

38'
⚽Jay Robinsonassist: Ricardo Mangas
41'
Michael Folorunsho
🔁Diego Carlosout: Lautaro Valenti
45'
🔁Christian Ordóñezout: Vincent Sierro
45'
🔁Giovanni Fabbianout: Matija Frigan
45'
54'
🔁Omari Forsonout: Andrea Colpani
🔁José David Romeroout: Simone Lontani
55'
⚽Simone Lontani
60'
62'
🔁Dany Motaout: Leonardo Colombo
Mandela Keita
66'
68'
Leonardo Colombo
🔁Sascha Britschgiout: Pontus Almqvist
77'
81'
🔁Eddy Kouadioout: Adam Bakoune
81'
🔁Jay Robinsonout: Mathis Mout
81'
🔁Andrea Carboniout: Yvan Maye
Pontus Almqvist
83'

Match stats — Parma vs Monza

46%Possession54%
7Shots16
3On target5
6Corners3

Line-ups

Parma 3-5-2
  • 40E. CorviG
  • 15E. Del PratoD
  • 34Diego CarlosD
  • 37M. TroiloD
  • 27S. BritschgiM
  • 32C. OrdoñezM
  • 16M. KeitaM
  • 80G. FabbianM
  • 14E. ValeriM
  • 9D. RomeroF
  • 19E. TouréF
Substitutes
  • 11P. AlmqvistF
  • 29F. CarboniD
  • 8B. CremaschiM
  • 30G. DaffaraG
  • 72D. DrobnicD
  • 23N. ElphegeF
  • 20M. FriganF
  • 22S. GhidottiG
  • 47Abdou KonateM
Coach: Carlos Cuesta
Monza 3-4-2-1
  • 20D. ThiamG
  • 60E. KouadioD
  • 3L. LucchesiD
  • 44A. CarboniD
  • 19S. BirindelliM
  • 90M. FolorunshoM
  • 14E. AkinsanmiroM
  • 7Ricardo MangasM
  • 11O. ForsonM
  • 46Jay RobinsonM
  • 47Dany MotaF
Substitutes
  • 6V. AntovD
  • 1N. TörnqvistG
  • 24A. BakouneD
  • 21L. ColomboM
  • 28A. ColpaniM
  • 2S. GoglichidzeD
  • 5Y. MayeD
  • 80M. MoutM
  • 8M. OndoaM
Coach: I. Juric

Form going into Parma vs Monza

Parma

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2away to Juventus29 August 2026
  • L0-1Cagliari22 August 2026

Monza

All competitions we cover

  • L2-3Udinese29 August 2026
  • L1-4away to Inter22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Parma11227917-88
18Monza112181725-87

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Parma vs Monza

  • 15 March 2025Monza 1–1 ParmaSerie A
  • 28 December 2024Parma 2–1 MonzaSerie A
  • 2 March 2022Monza 1–1 ParmaSerie B
  • 17 October 2021Parma 0–0 MonzaSerie B

The full Parma vs Monza record →

Leading scorers: Parma and Monza

Parma

No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Monza

GoalsAssists

  • Gustavo Varela91

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Parma and Monza drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Monza at 35% and given a draw 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Jay Robinson 38' for Monza, Simone Lontani 60' for Parma.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.