6 September 2026, 18:45 UTC

Juventus vs AC Milan Serie A prediction & result

Allianz Stadium, Turin
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Juventus 1-1 AC Milan.

Before kick-off the model made it 50% Juventus, 27% draw, 23% AC Milan — fair odds of 2.00, 3.70 and 4.35.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Juventus at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Juventus0%Draw6%AC Milan94%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

61'
🔁Alexis Saelemaekersout: Ruben Loftus-Cheek
61'
🔁Diego Moreiraout: Alphadjo Cissè
61'
🔁Adrien Rabiotout: Samuel Chukwueze
🔁Kerim Alajbegovicout: Jérémie Boga
64'
🔁Nicolás Iván Gonzalezout: Teun Koopmeiners
64'
68'
⚽Alphadjo Cissèassist: Samuel Chukwueze
🔁Douglas Luiz Soaresout: Nick Woltemade
76'
79'
Pervis Estupinan
82'
🔁Luka Modrićout: Ardon Jashari
88'
🔁Mario Gilaout: Filippo Terracciano
🔁Francisco Conceicaoout: Edon Zhegrova
88'
🔁Zeki Çelikout: Federico Gatti
88'
90+2'
Koni De Winter
⚽Federico Gattiassist: Teun Koopmeiners
90+2'
Federico Gatti
90+6'
90+6'
Alphadjo Cissè

Match stats — Juventus vs AC Milan

49%Possession51%
14Shots3
5On target1
7Corners1

Line-ups

Juventus 4-2-3-1
  • 25G. VicarioG
  • 15P. KaluluD
  • 3BremerD
  • 26J. LucumíD
  • 2Z. ÇelikD
  • 5M. LocatelliM
  • 12Douglas LuizM
  • 7Francisco ConceiçãoM
  • 31N. GonzálezM
  • 17Kerim-Sam AlajbegovićM
  • 9R. Kolo MuaniF
Substitutes
  • 11E. ZhegrovaF
  • 27N. WoltemadeF
  • 24D. RuganiD
  • 23C. PinsoglioG
  • 43F. PagnuccoM
  • 8T. KoopmeinersM
  • 6L. KellyD
  • 1K. GrabaraG
  • 4F. GattiD
Coach: L. Spalletti
AC Milan 3-4-2-1
  • 16M. MaignanG
  • 34Mario GilaD
  • 5K. De WinterD
  • 31S. PavlovićD
  • 22Diego MoreiraM
  • 14L. ModrićM
  • 80Y. MusahM
  • 2P. EstupiñánM
  • 12A. RabiotM
  • 56A. SaelemaekersM
  • 9Gonçalo RamosF
Substitutes
  • 33D. BartesaghiD
  • 13S. BocoumD
  • 73F. CamardaF
  • 21S. ChukwuezeF
  • 70A. CissèM
  • 28C. ComottoM
  • 96L. TorrianiG
  • 23F. TomoriD
  • 1P. TerraccianoG
Coach: Ruben Amorim

Form going into Juventus vs AC Milan

Juventus

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0Parma29 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Frosinone23 August 2026

AC Milan

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0Venezia28 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Torino23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Juventus115331512+318
4AC Milan117312313+1024

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Juventus vs AC Milan

  • 26 April 2026AC Milan 0–0 JuventusSerie A
  • 5 October 2025Juventus 0–0 AC MilanSerie A
  • 18 January 2025Juventus 2–0 AC MilanSerie A
  • 3 January 2025Juventus 1–2 AC MilanSuper Cup
  • 23 November 2024AC Milan 0–0 JuventusSerie A

The full Juventus vs AC Milan record →

Leading scorers: Juventus and AC Milan

Juventus

No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.

AC Milan

GoalsAssists

  • A. Rabiot54
  • A. Cissè50
  • Diego Moreira43

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Juventus and AC Milan drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Juventus at 50% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Alphadjo Cissè 68' for AC Milan, Federico Gatti 90+2' for Juventus.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.