Bolton vs West Ham Championship prediction & result
Final score: Bolton 2-3 West Ham.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% Bolton, 29% draw, 41% West Ham — fair odds of 3.33, 3.45 and 2.44.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Championship predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
West Ham at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bolton vs West Ham
Line-ups
- 31G. BazunuG
- 22Gaizka LarrazabalD
- 18E. ToalD
- 3C. Forino-JosephD
- 25M. ConwayD
- 8J. SheehanM
- 21E. ErhahonM
- 16S. Iling-JuniorM
- 20Ruben RodriguesM
- 7K. DongM
- 10S. DalbyF
- 4X. SimonsM
- 26J. NelsonF
- 45J. McAteeF
- 17A. ItoM
- 39R. HardieF
- 11T. GaleF
- 6B. DaviesD
- 1J. BonhamG
- 9T. BairF
- 1M. HermansenG
- 2K. Walker-PetersD
- 15K. MavropanosD
- 3M. KilmanD
- 30O. ScarlesD
- 20J. BowenM
- 14D. MukasaM
- 7A. EngelsM
- 35E. AustböM
- 17M. KantéM
- 19PabloF
- 34J. VeltmanD
- 10M. SolomonF
- 9J. PiroeF
- 61L. OrfordM
- 5MoratoD
- 21K. LamadridM
- 49F. HerrickG
- 18A. BoiroD
- 66J. AjalaF
Form going into Bolton vs West Ham
Bolton
All competitions we cover
- L0-4away to Millwall5 September 2026
- L2-3away to Sheffield Utd1 September 2026
- L0-1Lincoln29 August 2026
- D0-0away to QPR22 August 2026
- W2-1Preston15 August 2026
West Ham
All competitions we cover
- W3-0Derby5 September 2026
- W4-2Wolves1 September 2026
- D1-1away to Watford29 August 2026
- L1-2Charlton22 August 2026
- D2-2away to Burnley16 August 2026
What these results say
- Bolton failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Bolton conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- West Ham scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- West Ham conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for West Ham had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bolton | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 17 |
| 9 | West Ham | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Bolton vs West Ham
- 19 September 2017West Ham 3–0 BoltonLeague Cup
- 9 April 2011Bolton 3–0 West HamPremier League
- 21 August 2010West Ham 1–3 BoltonPremier League
Leading scorers: Bolton and West Ham
Bolton
GoalsAssists
- S. Dalby60
West Ham
GoalsAssists
- J. Bowen77
- K. Mavropanos50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
West Ham won 3–2 at Bolton. The model had made a win for West Ham its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Jarrod Bowen 13' for West Ham, Ethan Erhahon 18' for Bolton, Ruben Rodrigues (penalty) 27' for Bolton, Konstantinos Mavropanos 31' for West Ham, Jarrod Bowen 77' for West Ham.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.